Result
3:1
26/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 6
- Referee: Lien M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (313/413) | 85% (464/546) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (313/413) | 85% (464/546) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (60/109) | 73% (65/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -1.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Larsen H. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Skjaervik V. ⚽, Jenssen R. (A),
- 38', Dunsby J. ↓, Berntsen B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 1, Patoulidis E. ⚽, Lambrix X. (A),
- 52', Edvardsson D. ↓, Nyhammer T. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 1, Nyhammer T. ⚽, Larsen L. O. (A),
- 62', Moller N. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
- 62', Alte R. ↓, Melchior M. ↑,
- 72', Larsen H. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
- 80', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Vadebu I. ↑,
- 90+1', Larsen L. O. ↓, Mikkelsen M. ↑,
- 90+4', Pettersen E. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tromsø 59.9% | Draw 22.5% | Sandefjord 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Tromsø - Sandefjord Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 (1.58) |
4.22 ↓ (4.23) |
5.39 ↑ (5.28) |
5.6% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tromsø - Sandefjord?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sandefjord will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 3.
- Tromsø has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Sandefjord has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tromsø may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tromsø has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tromsø is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Tromsø: Ekblom V.
(Groin Injury)
Grundt J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Sandefjord: Swift J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Tromsø will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tromsø won against Sandefjord?
Tromsø has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sandefjord won against Tromsø?
Sandefjord has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Sandefjord were as follows:
09.11.2025
Sandefjord
-
Tromsø
1:0
04.05.2025
Tromsø
-
Sandefjord
0:1
22.09.2024
Tromsø
-
Sandefjord
3:0
03.07.2024
Sandefjord
-
Tromsø
1:2
20.08.2023
Tromsø
-
Sandefjord
1:0
Latest results of Sandefjord
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Molde | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Brann | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | HamKam | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen