Tromsø vs Strømsgodset – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 23
  • Referee: Moen C. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.99
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
85% (436/512)84% (377/451)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.350.67
Total shots
148
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3722
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
513
Passes
85% (436/512)84% (377/451)
Long passes
55% (34/62)53% (40/76)
Passes in final third
77% (135/176)67% (68/102)
Crosses
45% (9/20)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.521.17
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
135
Tackles
100% (8/8)80% (4/5)
Duels won
2734
Clearances
2429
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.672.35
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Enersen O. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Ieltsin Camoes , Jenssen R. (A),
  • 17', Ieltsin Camoes 🟨,
  • 40', Edvardsson D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Ieltsin Camoes , Erlien V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 3 - 1, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. , Kinteh A. S. (A),
  • 54', Kinteh A. S. 🟨,
  • 55', Vilsvik L. 🟨,
  • 58', Enersen O. , Wikheim G. ,
  • 66', Ieltsin Camoes , Braut D. ,
  • 71', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. , Jenssen A. ,
  • 72', Larsen L. O. , Hjerto-Dahl J. ,
  • 72', Conteh A. , Ampofo J. ,
  • 80', Erlien V. , Mikkelsen A. ,
  • 80', Kinteh A. S. , Husebo J. ,

Chances of winning


Tromsø
63.2%
Draw
22.5%
Strømsgodset
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 20.8% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6% 22.4% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tromsø, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Tromsø - Strømsgodset Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.47)
    4.22
    (4.58)
    6.7
    (6.6)
    4.6%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Tromsø - Strømsgodset?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Strømsgodset will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 4.
    • Tromsø has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Strømsgodset is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tromsø may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tromsø is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Tromsø: Guddal T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Johansen E. H. (Knock) Lampinen-Skaug S. (Knock) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tromsø: Innvaer S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strømsgodset: Ekeland J. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Strømsgodset were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Strømsgodset - Tromsø 2:3
    23.11.2024 Tromsø - Strømsgodset 2:0
    21.07.2024 Strømsgodset - Tromsø 0:1
    05.11.2023 Tromsø - Strømsgodset 0:1
    09.10.2022 Strømsgodset - Tromsø 1:2
    Latest results of Tromsø
    21.09.2025 Tromsø - Hamarkameratene 1:0
    14.09.2025 Bryne - Tromsø 0:2
    24.08.2025 Molde - Tromsø 2:0
    17.08.2025 Tromsø - Brann 1:2
    Latest results of Strømsgodset
    24.09.2025 Strømsgodset - Molde 1:2
    31.08.2025 Strømsgodset - Molde 3:1
    24.08.2025 Bryne - Strømsgodset 2:2
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aalesund00000:000
    2Brann00000:000
    3Molde00000:000
    4Fredrikstad00000:000
    5HamKam00000:000
    6Tromso00000:000
    7Rosenborg00000:000
    8Viking00000:000
    9Valerenga00000:000
    10Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    11Lillestrom00000:000
    12Sandefjord00000:000
    13Sarpsborg 0800000:000
    14Start00000:000
    15KFUM Oslo00000:000
    16Kristiansund00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen