Result
3:1
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 23
- Referee: Moen C. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Norway | TV2 Play |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.04 | 0.99 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
85% (436/512) | 84% (377/451) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.04 | 0.99 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.35 | 0.67 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
85% (436/512) | 84% (377/451) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (34/62) | 53% (40/76) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (135/176) | 67% (68/102) |
Crosses |
---|
45% (9/20) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.52 | 1.17 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (8/8) | 80% (4/5) |
Duels won |
---|
27 | 34 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.67 | 2.35 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.33 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Enersen O. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Ieltsin Camoes ⚽, Jenssen R. (A),
- 17', Ieltsin Camoes 🟨,
- 40', Edvardsson D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Ieltsin Camoes ⚽, Erlien V. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 3 - 1, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ⚽, Kinteh A. S. (A),
- 54', Kinteh A. S. 🟨,
- 55', Vilsvik L. 🟨,
- 58', Enersen O. ↓, Wikheim G. ↑,
- 66', Ieltsin Camoes ↓, Braut D. ↑,
- 71', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Jenssen A. ↑,
- 72', Larsen L. O. ↓, Hjerto-Dahl J. ↑,
- 72', Conteh A. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
- 80', Erlien V. ↓, Mikkelsen A. ↑,
- 80', Kinteh A. S. ↓, Husebo J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tromsø 63.2% | Draw 22.5% | Strømsgodset 14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tromsø, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Tromsø - Strømsgodset Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.47) |
4.22 ↓ (4.58) |
6.7 ↑ (6.6) |
4.6% (5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tromsø - Strømsgodset?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Strømsgodset will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 4.
- Tromsø has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Strømsgodset is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tromsø may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tromsø is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Tromsø: Guddal T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E.
(Knee Injury)
Johansen E. H.
(Knock)
Lampinen-Skaug S.
(Knock)
Melkersen E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tromsø: Innvaer S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Strømsgodset: Ekeland J.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tromsø won against Strømsgodset?
Tromsø has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strømsgodset won against Tromsø?
Strømsgodset has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tromsø - Strømsgodset were as follows:
13.07.2025
Strømsgodset
-
Tromsø
2:3
23.11.2024
Tromsø
-
Strømsgodset
2:0
21.07.2024
Strømsgodset
-
Tromsø
0:1
05.11.2023
Tromsø
-
Strømsgodset
0:1
09.10.2022
Strømsgodset
-
Tromsø
1:2
Latest results of Strømsgodset
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 66:22 | 44 | 55 |
2 | Viking | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 58:32 | 26 | 53 |
3 | Brann | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
4 | Tromso | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
5 | Rosenborg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33:33 | 0 | 35 |
6 | Sandefjord | 23 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 41:35 | 6 | 34 |
7 | Valerenga | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 34 |
8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 32 |
11 | Molde | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Kristiansund | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 28:45 | -17 | 30 |
13 | HamKam | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 25 |
14 | Bryne | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 20 |
16 | Haugesund | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15:65 | -50 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen