Tropezón vs Castro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Tropezón - Castro
Result
2:0
24/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Borty (Pen),
  • 65', 2 - 0, Nalda G. ,

Chances of winning


Tropezón
48.5%
Draw
32.2%
Castro
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 24.2% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tropezón's form might have worsened.
  • Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tropezón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Tropezón - Castro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.65)
    2.84
    (3.77)
    4.74
    (4.5)
    9.3%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 3.
    • Tropezón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Tropezón is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tropezón - Castro were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Castro - Tropezón 0:1
    19.01.2025 Tropezón - Castro 1:0
    25.02.2024 Tropezón - Castro 2:3
    08.10.2023 Castro - Tropezón 0:2
    22.04.2023 Castro - Tropezón 0:0
    Latest results of Tropezón
    18.05.2025 Castro - Tropezón 0:1
    10.05.2025 Siete Villas - Tropezón 3:1
    27.04.2025 Guarnizo - Tropezón 1:1
    16.04.2025 Tropezón - Vimenor 1:0
    Latest results of Castro
    18.05.2025 Castro - Tropezón 0:1
    10.05.2025 Castro - Barreda Balompié 2:2
    04.05.2025 Torina - Castro 0:0
    20.04.2025 Gama - Castro 3:4
    13.04.2025 Castro - Naval Reinosa 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2