Result
3:1
11/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tropezón
58.1% | Draw
25.5% | Castro
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Tropezón - Castro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.6) |
3.56 ↓
(3.65) |
5.52 ↑
(5) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Tropezón is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tropezón won against Castro?
Tropezón has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Tropezón?
Castro has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tropezón - Castro were as follows:
24.05.2025
Tropezón
-
Castro
2:0
18.05.2025
Castro
-
Tropezón
0:1
19.01.2025
Tropezón
-
Castro
1:0
25.02.2024
Tropezón
-
Castro
2:3
08.10.2023
Castro
-
Tropezón
0:2
Latest results of Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 65:10 | 55 | 66 |
| 2 | Laredo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 49:20 | 29 | 56 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | Vimenor | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 38:24 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 27 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 49:34 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Cayon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Torina | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Bezana | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Castro | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 38:37 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Revilla | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:55 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 18 |
| 16 | Selaya | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17:35 | -18 | 18 |
| 17 | Montanas | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:73 | -46 | 18 |
| 18 | Noja | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16:47 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
