Result
2:0
24/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 0, Borty (Pen),
- 65', 2 - 0, Nalda G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tropezón 48.5% | Draw 32.2% | Castro 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tropezón's form might have worsened.Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tropezón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Tropezón - Castro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↑ (1.65) |
2.84 ↓ (3.77) |
4.74 ↑ (4.5) |
9.3% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 3.
- Tropezón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tropezón is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tropezón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tropezón won against Castro?
Tropezón has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Tropezón?
Castro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tropezón - Castro were as follows:
18.05.2025
Castro
-
Tropezón
0:1
19.01.2025
Tropezón
-
Castro
1:0
25.02.2024
Tropezón
-
Castro
2:3
08.10.2023
Castro
-
Tropezón
0:2
22.04.2023
Castro
-
Tropezón
0:0
Latest results of Tropezón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico Albericia | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Torrelavega | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Escobedo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Cayon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Torina | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Laredo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Castro | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Bezana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Guarnizo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Selaya | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Revilla | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Noja | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | CD Barquereno | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 5 |
| 17 | CD Colindres | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Montanas | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10:27 | -17 | 2 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation