Troyes vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Troyes - Ajaccio
Result
0:0
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.87
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
89% (503/567)75% (241/320)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.00
Total shots
126
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
179
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
89% (503/567)75% (241/320)
Long passes
76% (38/50)45% (29/65)
Passes in final third
73% (117/160)59% (37/63)
Crosses
39% (7/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.36
Fouls
1219
Tackles
64% (7/11)87% (13/15)
Duels won
5753
Clearances Total
925
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.000.19
Goals prevented
0.000.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Irie C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Huard M. 🟨,
  • 58', Adeline M. , Diop M. ,
  • 71', El Idrissy M. , de Preville N. ,
  • 80', Kante A. , Toure B. ,
  • 87', M'Changama Y. , Detourbet M. ,
  • 90+3', Puch Herrantz M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Troyes
50.5%
Draw
29%
Ajaccio
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 29.1% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 29.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Troyes - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.91)
    3.21
    (3.21)
    4.56
    (4.24)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Troyes is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Yellow Cards) Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Troyes won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Ajaccio were as follows:
    30.08.2024 Ajaccio - Troyes 2:1
    13.01.2024 Troyes - Ajaccio 3:1
    11.11.2023 Ajaccio - Troyes 1:0
    26.02.2023 Ajaccio - Troyes 2:1
    16.10.2022 Troyes - Ajaccio 1:1
    Latest results of Troyes
    05.04.2025 Troyes - Red Star 2:2
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1
    14.03.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 0:1
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amiens21105:324
    2Pau FC21103:124
    3Troyes21102:114
    4Nancy21101:014
    5Laval20204:402
    6Clermont20202:202
    7Le Mans10103:301
    8Guingamp10103:301
    9St Etienne10103:301
    10Reims10102:201
    11Dunkerque10102:201
    12Bastia10101:101
    13Montpellier10101:101
    14Rodez10100:001
    15Grenoble20112:3-11
    16Red Star20112:4-21
    17Boulogne10010:1-10
    18Annecy10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National