Troyes vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.87
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
89% (503/567)75% (241/320)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.00
Total shots
126
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
179
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
89% (503/567)75% (241/320)
Long passes
76% (38/50)45% (29/65)
Passes in final third
73% (117/160)59% (37/63)
Crosses
39% (7/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.36
Fouls
1219
Tackles
64% (7/11)87% (13/15)
Duels won
5753
Clearances Total
925
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.000.19
Goals prevented
0.000.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Irie C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Huard M. 🟨,
  • 58', Adeline M. , Diop M. ,
  • 71', El Idrissy M. , de Preville N. ,
  • 80', Kante A. , Toure B. ,
  • 87', M'Changama Y. , Detourbet M. ,
  • 90+3', Puch Herrantz M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Troyes
50.5%
Draw
29%
Ajaccio
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 29.1% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 29.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Troyes - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.91)
    3.21
    (3.21)
    4.56
    (4.24)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Troyes - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Troyes (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Troyes is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Yellow Cards) Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Troyes won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Ajaccio were as follows:
    30.08.2024 Ajaccio - Troyes 2:1
    13.01.2024 Troyes - Ajaccio 3:1
    11.11.2023 Ajaccio - Troyes 1:0
    26.02.2023 Ajaccio - Troyes 2:1
    16.10.2022 Troyes - Ajaccio 1:1
    Latest results of Troyes
    05.04.2025 Troyes - Red Star 2:2
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1
    14.03.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 0:1
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    03.03.2025 Ajaccio - Dunkerque 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National