Troyes vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 12
  • Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.47
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
85% (404/476)78% (311/399)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.091.17
Total shots
174
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
438
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
85% (404/476)78% (311/399)
Long passes
63% (29/46)35% (20/57)
Passes in final third
73% (112/154)47% (27/57)
Crosses
43% (6/14)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.10
Throw-ins
3222
Fouls
1615
Tackles
69% (9/13)63% (17/27)
Duels won
4757
Clearances
1221
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.172.09
Goals prevented
0.17-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Ikia Dimi Y. ,
  • 34', Maronnier L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Assoumou J. , Detourbet M. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Bentayeb T. (Pen),
  • 49', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Bentayeb T. , Ifnaoui M. (A),
  • 55', Chabane A. 🟨,
  • 56', Ripart R. 🟨,
  • 69', Kaiboue K. , Hamache I. ,
  • 70', Lutin R. , Monconduit T. ,
  • 70', Averlant T. , Mlakar J. ,
  • 77', Bentayeb T. , El Idrissy M. ,
  • 82', Chabane A. , Talbot N. ,
  • 82', Louis C. , Appiah A. ,
  • 87', Monconduit T. 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 1, El Idrissy M. , Detourbet M. (A),
  • 90+1', Adeline M. , Odede E. ,
  • 90+1', Boura I. , Ouzenadji A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Troyes
66.6%
Draw
20.1%
Amiens
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 19.8% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 18.5% 12%

Troyes - Amiens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.4
(1.38)
4.6
(4.7)
7.17
(7.24)
7.2%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 55.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 3.
    • Troyes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Amiens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Amiens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Troyes is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Troyes: Lemaitre N. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Amiens: Fofana I. (Red Card) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Troyes: Ripart R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Amiens: Monconduit T. (Injury)
    • We predict that Troyes will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.7:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Amiens were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Troyes - Amiens 1:0
    03.01.2025 Amiens - Troyes 0:3
    27.04.2024 Amiens - Troyes 0:0
    05.12.2023 Troyes - Amiens 2:0
    Latest results of Troyes
    24.10.2025 Reims - Troyes 0:0
    17.10.2025 Troyes - Bastia 1:0
    03.10.2025 Le Mans - Troyes 2:2
    26.09.2025 Troyes - Annecy 3:1
    23.09.2025 Red Star - Troyes 1:3
    Latest results of Amiens
    25.10.2025 Amiens - Rodez 2:1
    20.10.2025 Nancy - Amiens 0:1
    03.10.2025 Amiens - Boulogne 0:1
    27.09.2025 Dunkerque - Amiens 6:2
    23.09.2025 Amiens - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National