Result
2:2
23/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 32
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Nantes 63% | Draw 21.8% | Troyes 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantes's performance.Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Nantes - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.68) |
4.38 ↑ (3.86) |
6.29 ↑ (4.95) |
4.7% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nantes - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
Nantes will win
(45 of 53 users predict this - 84.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.27% – 94.55%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Nantes has the most likely position - 14 (22.24%), project points - 40, currently - 31, a small chance of relegated (15%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (51.63%), project points - 26, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 47, small importance 25, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 3.
- Recent matches Nantes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Troyes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Nantes is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Nantes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Troyes?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Nantes?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Troyes were as follows:
28.12.2022
Troyes
-
Nantes
0:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2