Nantes vs Troyes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Nantes - Troyes
Result
2:2
23/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 32
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Chances of winning


Nantes
63%
Draw
21.8%
Troyes
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 24.5% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 24.2% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantes's performance.
  • Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Nantes - Troyes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.68)
    4.38
    (3.86)
    6.29
    (4.95)
    4.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nantes - Troyes?
  • Users Predictions: Nantes will win (45 of 53 users predict this - 84.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.27%94.55%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Nantes has the most likely position - 14 (22.24%), project points - 40, currently - 31, a small chance of relegated (15%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (51.63%), project points - 26, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 47, small importance 25, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 3.
    • Recent matches Nantes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Troyes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Nantes is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Nantes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Troyes were as follows:
    28.12.2022 Troyes - Nantes 0:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    16.04.2023 Auxerre - Nantes 2:1
    09.04.2023 Nantes - Monaco 2:2
    05.04.2023 Nantes - Lyon 1:0
    02.04.2023 Nantes - Reims 0:3
    17.03.2023 Lyon - Nantes 1:1
    Latest results of Troyes
    09.04.2023 Troyes - Clermont 0:2
    01.04.2023 Auxerre - Troyes 1:0
    19.03.2023 Troyes - Brest 2:2
    12.03.2023 Lorient - Troyes 2:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon22004:046
    2PSG22002:026
    3Marseille21015:323
    4Monaco11003:123
    5Nice21013:213
    6Strasbourg11001:013
    7Toulouse11001:013
    8Rennes11001:013
    9Angers21011:103
    10Auxerre21012:3-13
    11Lille10103:301
    12Brest10103:301
    13Lorient10010:1-10
    14Nantes10010:1-10
    15Lens10010:1-10
    16Le Havre10011:3-20
    17Paris FC20022:6-40
    18Metz20020:4-40

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