Result
2:3
08/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 14
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (387/473) | 74% (272/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (387/473) | 74% (272/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 24% (14/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (128/178) | 47% (40/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/32) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 11', 0 - 1, Boakye A. ⚽, Duffus J. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Cardona I. ⚽, Duffus J. (A),
- 44', Gozzi P. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 3, Duffus J. ⚽, Jaber M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Boakye A. 🟨,
- 59', Duffus J. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 3, Diop M. ⚽, Mille A. (A),
- 62', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
- 63', Gozzi P. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
- 63', El Idrissy M. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
- 73', Moueffek A. ↓, Gadegbeku L. ↑,
- 77', Maronnier L. ↓, Donkor N. ↑,
- 78', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
- 82', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Ripart R. ⚽,
- 90', Monfray A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Adeline M. ↓, Murcy R. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mrxcxnac
Chances of winning
Troyes
37.8% | Draw
27.6% | Saint-Étienne
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1%)
Troyes - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.4) |
3.41 ↓
(3.65) |
2.73 ↑
(2.59) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Troyes - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Saint-Étienne (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Saint-Étienne (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 0.
- Troyes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Saint-Étienne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Troyes: Bentayeb T.
(Red Card)
Lemaitre N.
(Injury)
Titi Y.
(Inactive)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A.
(Inactive)
Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Lamba C.
(Inactive)
Miladinovic I.
(Red Card)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Assoumou J.
(Injury)
Phliponeau A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Saint-Étienne?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Troyes?
Saint-Étienne has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
12.02.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Troyes
5:0
30.09.2023
Troyes
-
Saint-Étienne
0:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
