Result
2:4
13/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 3.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (227/303) | 85% (483/569) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 3.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 3.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (227/303) | 85% (483/569) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/64) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (41/68) | 74% (147/198) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 38% (9/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | -1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Dusalijevs N. ⚽, Anmanis (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Rubenis O. ⚽, Varslavans R. (A),
- 28', Kane M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 2, Nguena K. ⚽,
- 41', Melniks D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kane M. ↓, Kragliks R. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 3, Nguena K. (Pen),
- 54', Rogovs D. ↓, Kacanovs G. ↑,
- 54', Putrans D. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 60', Sirbu D. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 60', Kholod A. ↓, Valmiers D. ↑,
- 68', Rubenis O. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 3, Kirss R. ⚽, Joksts H. (A),
- 71', 2 - 4, Nguena K. (Pen),
- 76', Jeudi S. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
- 76', Pulis I. ↓, Bekima B. ↑,
- 83', Rafael Pontelo 🟨,
- 84', Clemente M. 🟨,
- 85', Anmanis 🟨,
- 86', Clemente M. ↓, Wassom K. ↑,
- 86', Nguena K. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 89', Volkovs K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
8.8% | Draw
16.5% | Auda Riga
74.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tukums 2000's form might have worsened.Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auda Riga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tukums 2000, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auda Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.47 ↑
(5.64) |
5.57 ↑
(4.93) |
1.23 ↓
(1.39) |
8.5%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Auda will win (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 0.
- Tukums 2000 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Auda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Auda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Auda is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Auda Riga?
Tukums 2000 has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Tukums 2000?
Auda Riga has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga were as follows:
18.04.2025
Auda Riga
-
Tukums 2000
2:0
03.11.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Auda Riga
0:3
02.10.2024
Auda Riga
-
Tukums 2000
1:1
02.06.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Auda Riga
1:4
21.04.2024
Auda Riga
-
Tukums 2000
2:0
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
