Result
1:0
10/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (229/310) | 87% (420/485) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (229/310) | 87% (420/485) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (31/69) | 61% (27/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (61/102) | 75% (117/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 25% (12/48) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Valmiers D. ↓, Reingolcs R. ↑,
- 26', Kurokawa A. 🟨,
- 39', Melniks D. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Derkach M. ⚽, Samoilovs B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Samoilovs B. ↓, Toba J. ↑,
- 46', Rubenis O. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 46', Kone K. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 63', Toba J. 🟨,
- 64', Jackson Kenio ↓, Monteiro E. ↑,
- 64', Melniks D. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
- 78', Ogunji A. ↓, Novikovs J. ↑,
- 80', Kurokawa A. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 81', Nagasawa M. ↓, Kholod A. ↑,
- 90+2', Dusalijevs N. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
20.1% | Draw
22.3% | Auda Riga
57.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.57 ↑
(4.3) |
4.1 ↓
(4.42) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
9.2%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Auda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Auda has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Auda is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Auda Riga?
Tukums 2000 has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Tukums 2000?
Auda Riga has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga were as follows:
13.06.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Auda Riga
2:4
18.04.2025
Auda Riga
-
Tukums 2000
2:0
03.11.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Auda Riga
0:3
02.10.2024
Auda Riga
-
Tukums 2000
1:1
02.06.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Auda Riga
1:4
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 34 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 23:49 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
