Result
2:3
21/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (139/244) | 81% (387/479) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (139/244) | 81% (387/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 62% (43/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (46/83) | 70% (126/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 32% (11/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 79 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.57 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Kangars A. ⚽, Prior L. (A),
- 25', Rubenis O. 🟨,
- 26', 2 - 0, Melkis R. ⚽, Zaleiko G. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Vergara J. ⚽, Daskevics E. (A),
- 45', Kacanovs G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 2, Vergara J. ⚽, Hrvoj T. (A),
- 53', Janovskis A. 🟨,
- 57', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 61', Fofana W. ↓, Diagne M. ↑,
- 61', Rubenis O. ↓, Aranda S. ↑,
- 64', Janovskis A. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
- 64', Kacanovs G. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 70', Melkis R. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
- 73', Kangars A. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 3, Ibrahim H. ⚽, Traore Y. (A),
- 85', Zaleiko G. ↓, Butovskis A. ↑,
- 90', Vergara J. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 90+3', Butovskis A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
21% | Draw
25.5% | Auda Riga
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelgava's form might have worsened.Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auda Riga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelgava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auda Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jelgava - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(3.29) |
3.6 ↑
(3.45) |
1.72 ↓
(2.02) |
8.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jelgava - Auda Riga?
Users Predictions:
Auda Riga will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 1.
- Jelgava is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Auda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Auda is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Auda Riga?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Jelgava?
Auda Riga has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Auda Riga were as follows:
27.09.2025
Jelgava
-
Auda Riga
1:1
05.07.2025
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
2:0
15.05.2025
Jelgava
-
Auda Riga
3:1
30.03.2025
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
2:0
21.10.2024
Auda Riga
-
Jelgava
3:0
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 3 | Auda | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
