Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (203/303) | 68% (285/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (203/303) | 68% (285/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 48% (45/94) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (53/93) | 50% (80/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Fjodorovs M. 🟨,
- 24', Mihoubi M. 🟨,
- 35', Kirss R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Agapov M. (Pen),
- 56', Bekili P. ↓, Doudou P. ↑,
- 58', Anmanis 🟨,
- 58', Dobrecovs D. 🟨,
- 60', Puzirevskis A. 🟨,
- 62', Kirss R. ↓, Toba J. ↑,
- 62', Kholod A. ↓, Valmiers D. ↑,
- 63', Klava O. 🟨,
- 73', Dusalijevs N. 🟨,
- 75', Samoilovs B. ↓, Putrans D. ↑,
- 84', Reingolcs R. 🟨,
- 84', Kurokawa A. ↓, Volkovs K. ↑,
- 90+1', Krautmanis J. ↓, Dzerins R. ↑,
- 90+5', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Knapsis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grobiņa
52.8% | Draw
25.4% | Tukums 2000
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Grobiņa - Tukums 2000 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.73) |
3.61 ↑
(3.6) |
4.23 ↓
(4.24) |
8.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grobiņa - Tukums 2000?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Grobiņa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tukums 2000 (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Grobiņa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Grobiņa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:35. (average 0.7:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Tukums 2000?
Grobiņa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Grobiņa?
Tukums 2000 has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grobiņa - Tukums 2000 were as follows:
21.07.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Grobiņa
2:1
21.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
Tukums 2000
2:0
05.04.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Grobiņa
2:0
28.09.2024
Grobiņa
-
Tukums 2000
1:2
08.07.2024
Grobiņa
-
Tukums 2000
2:1
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 80:21 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | RFS | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 84:33 | 51 | 75 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 48:55 | -7 | 46 |
| 5 | Auda | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 34 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 38:51 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Metta | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 31:68 | -37 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
