Result
2:1
21/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (258/340) | 75% (241/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (258/340) | 75% (241/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (37/76) | 46% (30/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/92) | 56% (66/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Mihoubi M. 🟨,
- 24', Grjaznovs A. 🟨,
- 33', Valmiers D. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Pulis I. ⚽, Dusalijevs N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Valmiers D. ↓, Reingolcs R. ↑,
- 62', Sdaigui Z. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
- 62', Grjaznovs A. ↓, Kluskins G. ↑,
- 63', Anmanis ↓, Volkovs K. ↑,
- 68', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
- 69', Dusalijevs N. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Dobrecovs D. (Pen),
- 73', Kholod A. ↓, Rogovs D. ↑,
- 73', Kirss R. ↓, Derkach M. ↑,
- 73', Krautmanis J. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
- 73', Kluskins G. ↓, Kalmarzy A. ↑,
- 78', Samoilovs B. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Pulis I. ⚽, Dusalijevs N. (A),
- 84', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
- 85', Tchamba B. ↓, Bekili P. ↑,
- 88', Pulis I. 🟨,
- 89', Toba J. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 90+1', Morarenko S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
38.1% | Draw
26.5% | Grobiņa
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tukums 2000's form might have worsened.Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grobiņa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.09) |
3.45 ↑
(3.31) |
2.58 ↓
(3.08) |
9.3%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Grobiņa will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tukums 2000: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tukums 2000 (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 2.
- In recent matches, Tukums 2000 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grobiņa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tukums 2000 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tukums 2000 has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:7. (average 3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:2. (average 3.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Grobiņa?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Tukums 2000?
Grobiņa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa were as follows:
21.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
Tukums 2000
2:0
05.04.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Grobiņa
2:0
28.09.2024
Grobiņa
-
Tukums 2000
1:2
08.07.2024
Grobiņa
-
Tukums 2000
2:1
16.05.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Grobiņa
1:2
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
