Result
1:1
17/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/414) | 63% (149/236) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/414) | 63% (149/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 41% (29/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (57/119) | 46% (40/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Kirss R. 🟨,
- 30', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
- 38', Ullman O. 🟥,
- 39', Becers R. ↓, Purs V. ↑,
- 43', Yuzvak A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Promise V. ⚽,
- 52', Promise V. 🟨,
- 55', Valmiers D. ↓, Rogovs D. ↑,
- 58', Boroduska E. 🟨,
- 65', Promise V. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 65', Kholod A. ↓, Kacanovs G. ↑,
- 65', Kirss R. ↓, Bekima B. ↑,
- 65', Semesko M. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 79', Emenike K. ↓, Campos I. ↑,
- 83', Volkovs K. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 1, Pulis I. ⚽, Rogovs D. (A),
- 85', Volkovs K. ↓, Sirbu D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
29% | Draw
26.5% | Jelgava
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tukums 2000's performance.Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelgava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tukums 2000 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelgava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tukums 2000 - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(3.93) |
3.48 ↓
(3.88) |
2.07 ↑
(1.71) |
8.6%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - Jelgava?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Jelgava will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jelgava: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 2.
- Tukums 2000 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jelgava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Jelgava is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Jelgava?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Tukums 2000?
Jelgava has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Jelgava were as follows:
23.04.2025
Jelgava
-
Tukums 2000
2:1
15.09.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Jelgava
3:3
26.06.2024
Jelgava
-
Tukums 2000
0:0
07.05.2024
Tukums 2000
-
Jelgava
2:1
17.03.2024
Jelgava
-
Tukums 2000
2:3
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
