Result
2:2
17/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (216/340) | 81% (453/559) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (216/340) | 81% (453/559) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (19/71) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (50/112) | 66% (126/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Deruzinskis R. ⚽,
- 17', Ogunniyi A. 🟨,
- 36', Valmiers D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Toba J. ↓, Samoilovs B. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Patrikejevs I. ⚽,
- 63', Valmiers D. ↓, Klavins K. ↑,
- 71', Pulis I. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 71', Amatkarijo C. ↓, Fellipe Vieira ↑,
- 71', Reingolcs R. ↓, Stals M. ↑,
- 71', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Patrikejevs I. ⚽,
- 84', Leoni ↓, Koki Y. ↑,
- 84', Deruzinskis R. ↓, Baumanis R. ↑,
- 88', Anmanis Kaspars 🟨,
- 88', Fellipe Vieira 🟨,
- 90+1', Gueye D. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Stals M. ⚽, Klavins K. (A),
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
22.8% | Draw
25.3% | Liepāja
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liepāja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tukums 2000 - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↓
(4.32) |
3.66 ↓
(4.1) |
1.79 ↑
(1.63) |
7.8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Liepāja will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation) and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 0.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Liepāja is the team to beat.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:41. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Liepāja?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Tukums 2000?
Liepāja has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Liepāja were as follows:
14.09.2025
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
4:1
25.06.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
1:3
06.05.2025
Tukums 2000
-
Liepāja
2:2
12.03.2025
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
0:0
01.09.2024
Liepāja
-
Tukums 2000
3:1
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auda | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Jelgava | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:22 | -15 | 8 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
