Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Matto J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (154/244) | 74% (272/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (154/244) | 74% (272/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (25/80) | 51% (37/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (49/110) | 65% (91/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 25% (9/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Schaefer B. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 33', St.Clair H. 🟨,
- 45+1', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
- 60', Kizza E. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
- 60', Williams R. ↓, Rendon B. ↑,
- 64', Amann T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 64', Damm O. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
- 64', Colli G. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Blake J. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
- 80', 2 - 1, Diallo B. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
- 81', Zalinsky J. ↓, White H. ↑,
- 81', Murphy J. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
- 81', Webber J. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
- 88', Pruter L. 🟨,
- 89', Dalou A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven 39.1% | Draw 26.3% | Tulsa 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Indy Eleven - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.46) |
3.55 ↑ (3.45) |
2.68 ↑ (2.67) |
7.5% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Tulsa?
Indy Eleven has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Indy Eleven?
Tulsa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Tulsa were as follows:
26.07.2025
Indy Eleven
-
Tulsa
2:1
26.07.2024
Tulsa
-
Indy Eleven
0:0
07.10.2023
Tulsa
-
Indy Eleven
1:2
08.07.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Tulsa
0:1
01.10.2022
Indy Eleven
-
Tulsa
2:4
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )