Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Matto J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (154/244) | 74% (272/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (154/244) | 74% (272/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (25/80) | 51% (37/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (49/110) | 65% (91/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 25% (9/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Schaefer B. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 33', St.Clair H. 🟨,
- 45+1', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
- 60', Kizza E. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
- 60', Williams R. ↓, Rendon B. ↑,
- 64', Amann T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 64', Damm O. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
- 64', Colli G. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Blake J. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
- 80', 2 - 1, Diallo B. ⚽, Goldthorp E. (A),
- 81', Zalinsky J. ↓, White H. ↑,
- 81', Murphy J. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
- 81', Webber J. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
- 88', Pruter L. 🟨,
- 89', Dalou A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
39.1% | Draw
26.3% | Tulsa
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Indy Eleven - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.46) |
3.55 ↑
(3.45) |
2.68 ↑
(2.67) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Tulsa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Tulsa (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Tulsa?
Indy Eleven has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Indy Eleven?
Tulsa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Tulsa were as follows:
26.07.2025
Indy Eleven
-
Tulsa
2:1
26.07.2024
Tulsa
-
Indy Eleven
0:0
07.10.2023
Tulsa
-
Indy Eleven
1:2
08.07.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Tulsa
0:1
01.10.2022
Indy Eleven
-
Tulsa
2:4
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
