Result
2:2
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 21
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (420/529) | 68% (218/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 3.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (420/529) | 68% (218/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (34/72) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (137/192) | 68% (83/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.70 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Rots D. 🟨,
- 10', Holtby L. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Rots M. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Hillen R. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 2, van Wolfswinkel R. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
- 53', Kemper B. ↓, Candelaria J. ↑,
- 57', Zerrouki R. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Brym C. ⚽, Talvitie J. (A),
- 67', Holtby L. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 67', Valerius C. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
- 68', Verschueren A. ↓, Hlynsson K. ↑,
- 69', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 75', Hoefkens C. 🟨,
- 77', Rots D. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
- 78', van den Belt T. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
- 83', Balard M. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Soumano M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
27.1% | Draw
27.1% | Twente
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Twente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NAC Breda - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↓
(4.2) |
3.49 ↓
(3.5) |
2.06 ↑
(1.85) |
5.9%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Twente?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Twente will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 62.8% – 89.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Breda (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Twente (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- AH +0.25 - Twente (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Twente (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Breda (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Breda (votes: 5 - 25%). Twente (votes: 15 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
- Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Twente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Twente might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Breda: Jensen F.
(Injury)
Paula R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Twente: Booth T.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Twente?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against NAC Breda?
Twente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Twente were as follows:
13.09.2025
Twente
-
NAC Breda
2:2
19.01.2025
NAC Breda
-
Twente
2:1
29.09.2024
Twente
-
NAC Breda
1:0
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
