NAC Breda vs Twente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.261.63
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
2018
Shots on target
109
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
74
Passes
79% (420/529)68% (218/320)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.261.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.113.70
Total shots
2018
Shots on target
109
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
56
Shots inside the box
1211
Shots outside the box
87
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2638
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
107
Passes
79% (420/529)68% (218/320)
Long passes
47% (34/72)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
71% (137/192)68% (83/122)
Crosses
26% (7/27)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.300.90
Throw ins
1719
Fouls
710
Tackles
65% (11/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
6253
Clearances
3452
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
77
xGOT faced
3.702.11
Goals prevented
1.700.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Rots D. 🟨,
  • 10', Holtby L. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Rots M. , Rots D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Hillen R. , Talvitie J. ,
  • 51', 0 - 2, van Wolfswinkel R. , Orjasaeter S. (A),
  • 53', Kemper B. , Candelaria J. ,
  • 57', Zerrouki R. , Kjolo M. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Brym C. , Talvitie J. (A),
  • 67', Holtby L. , Ayew A. ,
  • 67', Valerius C. , Lucassen B. ,
  • 68', Verschueren A. , Hlynsson K. ,
  • 69', Orjasaeter S. , Pjaca M. ,
  • 75', Hoefkens C. 🟨,
  • 77', Rots D. , Lammers S. ,
  • 78', van den Belt T. , Bruns M. ,
  • 83', Balard M. , Leemans C. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Soumano M. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
27.1%
Draw
27.1%
Twente
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.4% 26.8% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 26.1% 52.2%

NAC Breda - Twente Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.5
(4.2)
3.49
(3.5)
2.06
(1.85)
5.9%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Twente?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Twente will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 62.8%89.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Twente (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Twente (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Twente (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Breda (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 5 - 25%). Twente (votes: 15 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
    • Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Twente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Twente might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Breda: Jensen F. (Injury) Paula R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Twente: Booth T. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Twente were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    19.01.2025 NAC Breda - Twente 2:1
    29.09.2024 Twente - NAC Breda 1:0
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    24.01.2026 PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda 2:2
    17.01.2026 NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen 3:4
    10.01.2026 Groningen - NAC Breda 0:0
    20.12.2025 NAC Breda - Telstar 0:1
    14.12.2025 NAC Breda - Utrecht 1:1
    Latest results of Twente
    24.01.2026 Twente - Excelsior 0:0
    18.01.2026 Heracles Almelo - Twente 0:2
    13.01.2026 Utrecht - Twente 1:2
    10.01.2026 Twente - Zwolle 1:1
    21.12.2025 Feyenoord - Twente 1:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV22192166:264059
    2Feyenoord22133652:322042
    3Nijmegen21125456:352141
    4Ajax22109342:291339
    5Sparta Rotterdam22113829:36-736
    6Twente22810436:241234
    7AZ Alkmaar2296737:36133
    8Groningen2294929:28131
    9Sittard22751033:38-526
    10Excelsior22751024:37-1326
    11Zwolle22751031:45-1426
    12Heerenveen2167832:36-425
    13Utrecht2166930:28224
    14G.A. Eagles21411632:35-323
    15FC Volendam22561124:37-1321
    16Telstar22381126:38-1217
    17Heracles22521531:57-2617
    18NAC Breda22371223:36-1316

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie