Twente vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Twente - NAC Breda
Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.74
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
77% (327/423)66% (183/278)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.13
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
77% (327/423)66% (183/278)
Long passes
46% (27/59)36% (27/74)
Passes in final third
68% (108/158)50% (34/68)
Crosses
19% (3/16)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.250.83
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
1517
Tackles
56% (15/27)85% (11/13)
Duels won
7652
Clearances
2950
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.132.15
Goals prevented
-0.870.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Nassoh M. , Brym C. (A),
  • 21', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
  • 22', Kemper B. 🟨,
  • 32', Hoefkens C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Verschueren A. 🟨,
  • 59', Rots D. , Pjaca M. ,
  • 59', Orjasaeter S. , Weidmann D. ,
  • 59', Verschueren A. , Booth T. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Pjaca M. , Hlynsson K. (A),
  • 75', Hlynsson K. , van den Belt T. ,
  • 81', Brym C. , Leemans C. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
  • 89', Lucassen B. , Versluis D. ,
  • 89', Nassoh M. , Valerius C. ,
  • 90', Talvitie J. , Paula R. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Paula R. , Kemper B. (A),
  • 90+3', Sowah K. , Kongolo T. ,

Chances of winning


Twente
59.6%
Draw
24.6%
NAC Breda
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.1% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 19.6% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Twente's form might have worsened.
  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Twente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Twente - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.48)
    4.1
    (4.75)
    6.53
    (6.25)
    -3.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Twente - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Twente is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Twente: Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Inactive) van Hooijdonk S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Twente: Lemkin S. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Twente won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - NAC Breda were as follows:
    19.01.2025 NAC Breda - Twente 2:1
    29.09.2024 Twente - NAC Breda 1:0
    Latest results of Twente
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Heerenveen - Twente 1:2
    17.08.2025 Twente - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    10.08.2025 Zwolle - Twente 1:0
    02.08.2025 Twente - Udinese 0:1
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    09.08.2025 Feyenoord - NAC Breda 2:0
    02.08.2025 Norwich City - NAC Breda 2:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord981025:61925
    2PSV971127:121522
    3AZ Alkmaar953119:12718
    4Ajax944117:12516
    5Groningen950414:13115
    6Nijmegen942325:17814
    7Twente942317:14314
    8Utrecht941418:11713
    9Sittard941413:13013
    10Sparta Rotterdam941413:22-913
    11Heerenveen1034318:18013
    12G.A. Eagles924315:16-110
    13Excelsior93068:17-99
    14NAC Breda1023513:19-69
    15Zwolle92259:17-88
    16Telstar921612:18-67
    17FC Volendam914410:16-67
    18Heracles91087:27-203

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