Twente vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Twente - NAC Breda
Result
2:2
13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.74
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
77% (327/423)66% (183/278)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.090.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.13
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
77% (327/423)66% (183/278)
Long passes
46% (27/59)36% (27/74)
Passes in final third
68% (108/158)50% (34/68)
Crosses
19% (3/16)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.250.83
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
1517
Tackles
56% (15/27)85% (11/13)
Duels won
7652
Clearances
2950
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.132.15
Goals prevented
-0.870.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Nassoh M. , Brym C. (A),
  • 21', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
  • 22', Kemper B. 🟨,
  • 32', Hoefkens C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Verschueren A. 🟨,
  • 59', Rots D. , Pjaca M. ,
  • 59', Orjasaeter S. , Weidmann D. ,
  • 59', Verschueren A. , Booth T. ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Pjaca M. , Hlynsson K. (A),
  • 75', Hlynsson K. , van den Belt T. ,
  • 81', Brym C. , Leemans C. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
  • 89', Lucassen B. , Versluis D. ,
  • 89', Nassoh M. , Valerius C. ,
  • 90', Talvitie J. , Paula R. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Paula R. , Kemper B. (A),
  • 90+3', Sowah K. , Kongolo T. ,

Chances of winning


Twente
59.6%
Draw
24.6%
NAC Breda
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 20.1% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 19.6% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Twente's form might have worsened.
  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Twente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Twente - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.48)
    4.1
    (4.75)
    6.53
    (6.25)
    -3.2%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Twente - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Twente is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Twente: Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Inactive) van Hooijdonk S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Twente: Lemkin S. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Twente won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - NAC Breda were as follows:
    19.01.2025 NAC Breda - Twente 2:1
    29.09.2024 Twente - NAC Breda 1:0
    Latest results of Twente
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Heerenveen - Twente 1:2
    17.08.2025 Twente - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    10.08.2025 Zwolle - Twente 1:0
    02.08.2025 Twente - Udinese 0:1
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    09.08.2025 Feyenoord - NAC Breda 2:0
    02.08.2025 Norwich City - NAC Breda 2:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord761015:41119
    2PSV751121:111016
    3Ajax743014:7715
    4Groningen850314:11315
    5Nijmegen740321:13812
    6AZ Alkmaar733115:11412
    7Utrecht731313:7610
    8Twente731312:10210
    9Sittard731312:12010
    10G.A. Eagles723213:1309
    11Sparta Rotterdam73048:19-119
    12FC Volendam71429:12-37
    13Telstar72149:13-47
    14Zwolle72147:11-47
    15NAC Breda82158:14-67
    16Heerenveen713310:12-26
    17Excelsior72056:15-96
    18Heracles71066:18-123

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