Result
0:2
15/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 27
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (446/547) | 70% (238/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (446/547) | 70% (238/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/60) | 42% (34/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (137/200) | 58% (53/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', de Wit D. 🟨,
- 25', van den Belt T. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Stepanov A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Zechiel G. 🟨,
- 62', Pjaca M. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
- 62', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 63', Nijstad R. ↓, Propper R. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Alarcon A. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
- 69', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 80', Stepanov A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 84', Hlynsson K. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
- 84', Zerrouki R. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
- 88', Alarcon A. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 88', Zechiel G. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
- 89', Barkas V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Twente
57% | Draw
23.4% | Utrecht
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Twente's form might have worsened.Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Twente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Twente - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.48) |
4.06 ↓
(4.1) |
4.88 ↓
(6.25) |
5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Twente - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 19.5% – 68.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
- Twente has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Utrecht is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Twente is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M.
(Thigh Injury)
Haller S.
(Ribs Injury)
Jensen V.
(Knee Injury)
Vesterlund N.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Twente: Booth T.
(Muscle Injury)
Orjasaeter S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: van der Hoorn M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Twente will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Utrecht?
Twente has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Twente?
Utrecht has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Utrecht were as follows:
13.01.2026
Utrecht
-
Twente
1:2
07.12.2025
Utrecht
-
Twente
1:1
11.05.2025
Twente
-
Utrecht
2:0
01.09.2024
Utrecht
-
Twente
2:1
18.02.2024
Twente
-
Utrecht
0:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
