Result
01/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | WebDirecto |
Chances of winning
UCAM Murcia
52.9% | Draw
28.7% | Melilla
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)The ML Model estimate for UCAM Murcia aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
UCAM Murcia - Melilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.78) |
3.18 ↑
(3.13) |
4.93 ↑
(4.58) |
9.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 4.
- UCAM Murcia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melilla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Melilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, UCAM Murcia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Melilla?
UCAM Murcia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melilla won against UCAM Murcia?
Melilla has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UCAM Murcia - Melilla were as follows:
07.09.2025
Melilla
-
UCAM Murcia
2:0
17.08.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Melilla
3:0
08.08.2023
UCAM Murcia
-
Melilla
2:0
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Latest results of Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aguilas FC | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:16 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Deportiva Minera | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Lorca Deportiva | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Xerez CD | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 24:19 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Jaen | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | CD Extremadura | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 34:29 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 21:22 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Antoniano | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Linares | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | La Union | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Xerez D.F.C | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 15 | Melilla | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 16 | CD Estepona | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:41 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
