Result
3:2
01/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | WebDirecto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Soto A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 1, Lorenzo O. ⚽,
- 48', 1 - 2, Iglesias J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', 2 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,
- 70', Ortola A. 🟨,
- 84', Pontones J. 🟥,
- 90+14', 3 - 2, Mizzian M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
UCAM Murcia
52.8% | Draw
28.6% | Melilla
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
UCAM Murcia - Melilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.78) |
3.18 ↑
(3.13) |
4.89 ↑
(4.58) |
9.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 4.
- UCAM Murcia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melilla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Melilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, UCAM Murcia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Melilla?
UCAM Murcia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melilla won against UCAM Murcia?
Melilla has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UCAM Murcia - Melilla were as follows:
07.09.2025
Melilla
-
UCAM Murcia
2:0
17.08.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Melilla
3:0
08.08.2023
UCAM Murcia
-
Melilla
2:0
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Latest results of Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 43:34 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Aguilas FC | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 39:23 | 16 | 52 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 30:24 | 6 | 51 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:19 | 17 | 51 |
| 7 | Jaen | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 48 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 44 |
| 9 | Linares | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | La Union | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:32 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Estepona | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 | Melilla | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 21:44 | -23 | 20 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
