Gran Peña vs UD Ourense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Gran Peña - UD Ourense
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Fernandez Rodriguez M. A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 83', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
17%
Draw
24.6%
UD Ourense
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.4% 20.7% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9% 19.8% 70%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gran Peña - UD Ourense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.33
    (7.37)
    3.69
    (4.4)
    1.55
    (1.36)
    10.2%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 2.
    • Recent matches Gran Peña is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • UD Ourense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match UD Ourense is absolute favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - UD Ourense were as follows:
    24.11.2024 UD Ourense - Gran Peña 2:0
    09.06.2024 Gran Peña - UD Ourense 2:1
    02.06.2024 UD Ourense - Gran Peña 3:3
    24.02.2024 UD Ourense - Gran Peña 0:2
    08.10.2023 Gran Peña - UD Ourense 1:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    30.03.2025 Betanzos - Gran Peña 2:1
    23.03.2025 Gran Peña - Polvorín 3:2
    16.03.2025 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 0:0
    23.02.2025 Gran Peña - Sarriana 1:3
    16.02.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 0:0
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    30.03.2025 UD Ourense - Somozas 0:0
    23.03.2025 Boiro - UD Ourense 0:1
    15.03.2025 UD Ourense - Villalonga 2:0
    01.03.2025 UD Ourense - Arosa 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2