UD San Fernando vs Lanzarote – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 UD San Fernando - Lanzarote
Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Mayor J. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Quintero Guevara A. F. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Espino J. ,

Chances of winning


UD San Fernando
52.9%
Draw
26.8%
Lanzarote
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 21.9% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 21% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD San Fernando's form might have worsened.
  • Lanzarote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanzarote's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanzarote, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • UD San Fernando - Lanzarote Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.39)
    3.38
    (4.15)
    4.46
    (7.23)
    10.5%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches UD San Fernando won 4.
    • UD San Fernando in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Lanzarote is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lanzarote could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match UD San Fernando is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's UD San Fernando to win the game is with odds 1.71.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches UD San Fernando won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams UD San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
    Latest results of UD San Fernando
    Latest results of Lanzarote
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Fernando53207:3411
    2Panaderia53116:3310
    3Lanzarote43018:449
    4Tenerife C53027:439
    5Yaiza43014:409
    6Tamaraceite52217:258
    7Atl. Paso42115:327
    8Villa Santa Brigida52124:407
    9Real Union Tenerife52123:5-27
    10Las Palmas C520310:646
    11CD Marino42026:606
    12Mensajero42026:7-16
    13Herbania51226:8-25
    14Arucas51222:4-25
    15San Miguel41125:6-14
    16SD Tenisca41034:6-23
    17San Bartolome51046:14-83
    18Telde40131:8-71

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation