Udinese vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
3:0
02/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 27
  • Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Football, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.650.67
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
70
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
52
Passes
78% (237/304)87% (489/560)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
1.650.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.720.00
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
16
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1216
Passes
78% (237/304)87% (489/560)
Long passes
48% (21/44)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
58% (40/69)75% (91/121)
Crosses
36% (4/11)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.62
Throw ins
1419
Fouls
1612
Tackles
68% (17/25)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2714
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
04
xGOT faced
0.002.72
Goals prevented
0.00-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Kabasele C. ⚽, Zaniolo N. (A),
  • 28', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 32', Ehizibue K. 🟨,
  • 32', Parisi F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Brescianini M. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
  • 46', Pongracic M. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
  • 62', Rugani D. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Davis K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
  • 71', Mandragora R. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
  • 71', Kean M. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
  • 73', Piotrowski J. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
  • 73', Bertola N. ↓, Mlacic B. ↑,
  • 73', Zemura J. ↓, Kamara H. ↑,
  • 80', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 87', Zaniolo N. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
  • 87', Fagioli N. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Buksa A. ⚽, Miller L. (A),

Chances of winning


Udinese
29.5%		Draw
30.6%		Fiorentina
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 28.4% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 27.8% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
    •

    Udinese - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.23 ↑
    (3.13)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.35)    		 2.39 ↑
    (2.31)    		 4.8%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Udinese - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 16 - 29.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 22 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 29.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 27.6% – 53.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Udinese (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Udinese (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Udinese (1.59) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Udinese (2.23) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Udinese (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Udinese (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Udinese (votes: 13 - 52%). Fiorentina (votes: 7 - 28%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.
    • Udinese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fiorentina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Udinese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Udinese: Solet O. (Muscle Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Dodo (Yellow Cards) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Lezzerini L. (Muscle Injury) Solomon M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Fiorentina were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1
    25.05.2025 Udinese - Fiorentina 2:3
    23.12.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 1:2
    14.01.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 2:2
    24.09.2023 Udinese - Fiorentina 0:2
    Latest results of Udinese
    23.02.2026 Bologna - Udinese 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Udinese - Sassuolo 1:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Lecce - Udinese 2:1 ✺
    02.02.2026 Udinese - Roma 1:0 ✺
    26.01.2026 Verona - Udinese 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    26.02.2026 Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:4 ✺
    23.02.2026 Fiorentina - Pisa 1:0 ✺
    19.02.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺
    14.02.2026 Como - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Fiorentina - Torino 2:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter29222565:234268
    2AC Milan29179344:212360
    3Napoli29185645:301559
    4Como29159548:222654
    5Juventus29158651:282353
    6AS Roma291631039:231651
    7Atalanta291211640:271347
    8Bologna291261138:34442
    9Lazio291010929:28140
    10Sassuolo291151335:39-438
    11Udinese291061333:42-936
    12Parma298101121:36-1534
    13Genoa29891236:40-433
    14Torino29961432:50-1833
    15Cagliari29791331:41-1030
    16Fiorentina296101334:43-928
    17Lecce29761621:39-1827
    18Cremonese29591523:44-2124
    19Pisa292121523:49-2618
    20Verona29391722:51-2918

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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