Result
16/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 19
- Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)
Chances of winning
Ufa 34.1% | Draw 32% | Arsenal Tula 33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ufa - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.8 ↓ (2.83) |
2.99 ↓ (3.22) |
2.83 ↑ (2.58) |
4.6% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 0.
- Ufa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arsenal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Arsenal Tula?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Ufa?
Arsenal Tula has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
20.09.2025
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
2:2
18.05.2025
Ufa
-
Arsenal Tula
1:2
29.09.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
0:0
26.03.2023
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
2:1
02.09.2022
Ufa
-
Arsenal Tula
0:2
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ural | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 22:11 | 11 | 39 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 29:20 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 25 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 | Ufa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 19 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moscow | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Saratov | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14:35 | -21 | 11 |
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