Ufa vs Arsenal Tula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Ufa - Arsenal Tula
Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
12
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
30
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
12
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
30
Free Kicks
1210
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Bolshakov K. (Pen),
  • 38', Reyes E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Berdnikov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Berdnikov A. , Moskalenchik I. ,
  • 54', Matskharashvili N. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Reyes E. ,
  • 59', Bocherov V. , Chernyak I. ,
  • 59', Matskharashvili N. , Isaev S. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Chernyak I. ,
  • 62', Tkachev S. , Lipovoy D. ,
  • 69', Ahlinvi M. , Razdorskikh N. ,
  • 73', Stotsky D. , Akhatov D. ,
  • 74', Lozhkin V. , Mullin K. ,
  • 84', Djuranovic U. , Kalmykov A. ,
  • 84', Reyes E. , Geloyan I. ,
  • 90', Anisimov A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Tsulaya M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ufa
42.3%
Draw
28.6%
Arsenal Tula
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 29.7% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 30.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Ufa - Arsenal Tula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.15)
    3.28
    (3.18)
    3.22
    (3.56)
    6.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 1.
    • In recent matches, Ufa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arsenal is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ufa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Arsenal Tula - Ufa 0:0
    26.03.2023 Arsenal Tula - Ufa 2:1
    02.09.2022 Ufa - Arsenal Tula 0:2
    Latest results of Ufa
    11.05.2025 Ural - Ufa 2:1
    27.04.2025 Ufa - Shinnik 1:0
    20.04.2025 Rodina Moscow - Ufa 2:0
    12.04.2025 Ufa - Alania Vladikavkaz 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    03.05.2025 Sochi - Arsenal Tula 5:1
    27.04.2025 Arsenal Tula - Rotor 1:1
    20.04.2025 Shinnik - Arsenal Tula 2:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelyabinsk22004:226
    2Ural22004:226
    3Fakel Voronezh22002:026
    4FK Chayka21103:034
    5SKA Khabarovsk21103:214
    6Kamaz21103:214
    7S. Kostroma21013:213
    8R. Volgograd21012:203
    9Arsenal Tula20202:202
    10Saratov20200:002
    11Neftekhimik20200:002
    12Chernomorets Novorossijsk20113:4-11
    13Rodina Moscow20112:4-21
    14Torpedo Moscow20112:3-11
    15Shinnik Yaroslavl20111:2-11
    16Ufa20111:2-11
    17Ulyanovsk20022:4-20
    18Yenisey20021:5-40

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