Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Russia | Match TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 0 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Total shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Bolshakov K. (Pen),
- 38', Reyes E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Berdnikov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Berdnikov A. ↓, Moskalenchik I. ↑,
- 54', Matskharashvili N. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 2, Reyes E. ⚽,
- 59', Bocherov V. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
- 59', Matskharashvili N. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Chernyak I. ⚽,
- 62', Tkachev S. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
- 69', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
- 73', Stotsky D. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 74', Lozhkin V. ↓, Mullin K. ↑,
- 84', Djuranovic U. ↓, Kalmykov A. ↑,
- 84', Reyes E. ↓, Geloyan I. ↑,
- 90', Anisimov A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Tsulaya M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ufa 42.3% | Draw 28.6% | Arsenal Tula 29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Ufa - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↑ (2.15) |
3.28 ↑ (3.18) |
3.22 ↓ (3.56) |
6.7% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 1.
- In recent matches, Ufa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arsenal is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ufa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Arsenal Tula?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Ufa?
Arsenal Tula has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
29.09.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
0:0
26.03.2023
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
2:1
02.09.2022
Ufa
-
Arsenal Tula
0:2
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Chelyabinsk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
2 | Ural | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
3 | Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
4 | FK Chayka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 4 |
5 | SKA Khabarovsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Kamaz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
7 | S. Kostroma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
8 | R. Volgograd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Arsenal Tula | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
10 | Saratov | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Neftekhimik | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
14 | Torpedo Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ufa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
17 | Ulyanovsk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
18 | Yenisey | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
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Relegation