Result
1:2
18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Bolshakov K. (Pen),
- 38', Reyes E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Berdnikov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Berdnikov A. ↓, Moskalenchik I. ↑,
- 54', Matskharashvili N. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 2, Reyes E. ⚽,
- 59', Bocherov V. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
- 59', Matskharashvili N. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Chernyak I. ⚽,
- 62', Tkachev S. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
- 69', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
- 73', Stotsky D. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 74', Lozhkin V. ↓, Mullin K. ↑,
- 84', Djuranovic U. ↓, Kalmykov A. ↑,
- 84', Reyes E. ↓, Geloyan I. ↑,
- 90', Anisimov A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Tsulaya M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ufa
42.3% | Draw
28.6% | Arsenal Tula
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Ufa - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.15) |
3.28 ↑
(3.18) |
3.22 ↓
(3.56) |
6.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 1.
- In recent matches, Ufa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arsenal is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ufa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Arsenal Tula?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Ufa?
Arsenal Tula has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
29.09.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
0:0
26.03.2023
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
2:1
02.09.2022
Ufa
-
Arsenal Tula
0:2
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | S. Kostroma | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Ural | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Kamaz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelyabinsk | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | R. Volgograd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Arsenal Tula | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Ulyanovsk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Ufa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Neftekhimik | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moscow | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | Saratov | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
