Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 19
- Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Isaev S. 🟨,
- 23', Maksimov M. 🟨,
- 30', Penchikov D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mrzljak F. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
- 57', Botaka-Yoboma E. 🟨,
- 67', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Tsaraev A. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Penchikov D. ⚽,
- 72', 🟨,
- 73', Minatulaev O. 🟨,
- 74', Isaev S. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 74', Minatulaev O. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Ageyan M. ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 2, Mirzov R. (Pen),
- 84', Gorbunov I. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
- 84', Maksimov M. ↓, Kalmykov A. ↑,
- 90+3', Troshechkin A. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
- 90+3', Mirzov R. ↓, Bogdanets K. ↑,
- 90+5', Shlyakov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ufa
30.1% | Draw
32.2% | Arsenal Tula
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Ufa - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.83) |
2.94 ↓
(3.22) |
2.51 ↓
(2.58) |
5.8%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 0.
- Ufa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arsenal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Arsenal Tula?
Ufa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Ufa?
Arsenal Tula has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
20.09.2025
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
2:2
18.05.2025
Ufa
-
Arsenal Tula
1:2
29.09.2024
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
0:0
26.03.2023
Arsenal Tula
-
Ufa
2:1
02.09.2022
Ufa
-
Arsenal Tula
0:2
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 34:13 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 45:23 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
