Result
2:1
10/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 18
- Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Kochiev K. 🟥,
- 5', 0 - 1, Yusupov Z. ⚽,
- 12', Zhamaletdinov T. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
- 23', Perchenok A. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Gadzhimuradov R. ⚽,
- 39', Minatulaev O. 🟨,
- 44', Khabalov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Isaev S. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
- 46', Minatulaev O. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
- 54', Samoilov D. ↓, Komissarov T. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Gadzhimuradov R. (Pen),
- 65', Yusupov Z. 🟨,
- 65', 🟨,
- 70', Perchenok A. ↓, Tenyaev A. ↑,
- 70', Khabalov A. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
- 76', Urvantsev M. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
- 80', Ageyan M. ↓, Karpuk I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chelyabinsk 43.3% | Draw 33% | Ufa 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Chelyabinsk - Ufa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.22) |
2.89 ↓ (2.97) |
4.02 ↑ (3.79) |
5% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk - Ufa?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Chelyabinsk will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Ufa will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelyabinsk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13).
- Chelyabinsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ufa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ufa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Chelyabinsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chelyabinsk won against Ufa?
Chelyabinsk has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Chelyabinsk?
Ufa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chelyabinsk - Ufa were as follows:
28.09.2025
Ufa
-
Chelyabinsk
0:0
07.04.2024
Ufa
-
Chelyabinsk
2:0
Latest results of Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 35:16 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
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