Result
 
                    0:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  FNL - Round 12
- Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 15 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', N'Diaye B. ↓, Nosov A. ↑, 
- 44', Kochiev K. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Gatin B. 🟨, 
- 60', Gystarov R. ↓, Mrzljak F. ↑, 
- 62', Akhatov D. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑, 
- 68', Eza W. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑, 
- 76', Ortiz D. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑, 
- 82', Kutin D. 🟨, 
- 88', Perchenok A. 🟨, 
- 89', Nosov A. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Ufa 34.7%
 | Draw 30.5%
 | Chelyabinsk 34.7%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ufa - Chelyabinsk Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.73 ↓ (3.1)
 | 3.11 ↑ (3.1)
 | 2.73 ↑ (2.48)
 | 5.3% (4.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
- Ufa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Chelyabinsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chelyabinsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ufa has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ufa won against Chelyabinsk?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ufa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Chelyabinsk won against Ufa?
                    
                    
                        
                             Chelyabinsk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ufa - Chelyabinsk were as follows:
                                                        
                                07.04.2024 
                                Ufa 
                                - 
                                Chelyabinsk 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Chelyabinsk                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Russian FNL Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 33 | 
| 2 | Ural | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 | 
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 | 
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 27 | 
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 | 
| 6 | Kamaz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 | 
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 | 
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 | 
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 | 
| 11 | Yenisey | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 17 | 
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 17 | 
| 13 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | 
| 14 | Ufa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 16 | 
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 15 | 
| 16 | Saratov | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 14 | 
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 14 | 
| 18 | FK Chayka | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 11 | 
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