Result
04/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
Chances of winning
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
57.4% | Draw
27.7% | Mbarara City
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uganda Revenue Authority SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uganda Revenue Authority SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-2%)
Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.5) |
3.26 ↓
(3.6) |
6.07 ↓
(6.89) |
10.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, URA SC won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- URA SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, URA SC is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, URA SC won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, URA SC won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Uganda Revenue Authority SC won against Mbarara City?
Uganda Revenue Authority SC has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Uganda Revenue Authority SC?
Mbarara City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City were as follows:
17.12.2025
Mbarara City
-
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
1:0
04.04.2025
Mbarara City
-
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
0:2
28.09.2024
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
-
Mbarara City
1:1
07.05.2024
Mbarara City
-
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
0:0
29.12.2023
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
-
Mbarara City
3:0
Latest results of Uganda Revenue Authority SC
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 37:9 | 28 | 41 |
| 2 | Kitara | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 34 |
| 6 | Police | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 8 | BUL | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:26 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
