Ugento vs Manfredonia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Ugento - Manfredonia
Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Play Out - Final

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+7', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ugento
40%
Draw
29.6%
Manfredonia
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 29.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 30.6% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ugento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Manfredonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Ugento - Manfredonia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.22)
    3.08
    (3.1)
    3
    (3.06)
    9.8%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ugento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ugento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ugento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ugento - Manfredonia were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Manfredonia - Ugento 1:1
    06.10.2024 Ugento - Manfredonia 1:0
    Latest results of Ugento
    27.04.2025 Ugento - Matera 1:4
    17.04.2025 Città di Fasano - Ugento 0:2
    13.04.2025 Ugento - Martina Calcio 2:0
    Latest results of Manfredonia
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Citta di Fasano541010:3713
    2Fidelis Andria53209:3611
    3Martina Calcio53208:3511
    4Paganese53026:429
    5Virtus Francavilla522111:838
    6SS Nola 192552218:718
    7Francavilla52216:518
    8Afragolese52128:807
    9Sarnese52128:9-17
    10Heraclea52124:5-17
    11Barletta51315:506
    12Pompei51311:106
    13Manfredonia51138:11-34
    14Ferrandina51133:7-44
    15A.C.D. Nardo51133:8-54
    16Acerrana50324:6-23
    17Real Normanna50233:6-32
    18Gravina50235:11-62

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