Ugo Humbert vs Nicolas Jarry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
413
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
61%59%
1st Serve Points Won
82% (37/45)67% (41/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)47% (20/43)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)75% (12/16)
1st Return Points Won
33% (20/61)18% (8/45)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (23/43)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
25% (4/16)100% (2/2)
Winners
1536
Unforced Errors
2152
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)79% (15/19)
Service Points Won
70% (52/74)59% (61/104)
Return Points Won
41% (43/104)30% (22/74)
Total Points Won
53% (95/178)47% (83/178)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
86% (12/14)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)14% (2/14)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Ugo Humbert
53.2%
Nicolas Jarry
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Humbert's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Humbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.42)

    2.03
    (2.88)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Jarry will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 57.1%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 7 - 70%). Jarry (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 Games - Humbert (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - Humbert (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 9 - 75%). Jarry (votes: 3 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Humbert is ranked ATP: 20. Jarry is ranked ATP: 58.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Humbert will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Humbert won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:
    26.10.2023 Nicolas Jarry - Ugo Humbert 0:2
    08.08.2023 Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry 2:1
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    2Diallo G.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Huesler M. (Q)2 : 0
    4Nagal S. (LL)Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Dedura D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Bergs Z.Topo M. (LL)2 : 0
    7Engel J. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang Z. (PR)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Griekspoor T. (8)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    10Marozsan F.Tsitsipas S.2 : 1
    11Cilic M.Altmaier D.0 : 2
    12Molcan A. (Q)Bublik A. (3)2 : 0
    13Rinderknech A. (7)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    14Tabilo A.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    15Blockx A. (WC)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    16Nava E. (LL)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Diallo G.2 : 0
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    3Cobolli F. (4)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Darderi L. (6)2 : 1
    5Shapovalov D.Marozsan F.2 : 0
    6Altmaier D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    7Rinderknech A. (7)Fonseca J.0 : 2
    8Blockx A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (5)2 : 1
    2Cobolli F. (4)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Shapovalov D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    4Fonseca J.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cobolli F. (4)0 : 2
    2Molcan A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cobolli F. (4)Shelton B. (2)0 : 2