Result
2:2
04/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (408/491) | 79% (240/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (408/491) | 79% (240/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/144) | 55% (35/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Matko A. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Molnar A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Krajcsovics A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Brodic F. ↓, Maier A. ↑,
- 55', Krajcsovics A. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
- 64', Jurina M. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
- 70', Plsek J. ↓, Kerezsi Z. ↑,
- 70', Atrok I. ↓, Nemeth H. ↑,
- 72', Fenyo N. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
- 78', Horvath K. 🟨,
- 81', Molnar A. ↓, Jurek G. ↑,
- 85', Kovacs P. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Horvath K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', 🟨,
- 90', Matko A. ↓, Sarkadi K. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Jurek G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ujpest
44.9% | Draw
27.3% | MTK Budapest
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Ujpest - MTK Budapest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.07) |
3.4 ↓
(3.58) |
3.37 ↑
(3.24) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ujpest - MTK Budapest?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). MTK will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ujpest: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ujpest (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 2.
- In recent matches, Ujpest has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- MTK has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ujpest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ujpest will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 26:45. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 0.8:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against MTK Budapest?
Ujpest has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Ujpest?
MTK Budapest has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - MTK Budapest were as follows:
13.12.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
3:4
30.08.2025
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:2
24.05.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
1:3
01.03.2025
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:5
26.10.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
4:1
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 58:29 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Zalaegerszegi | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Paks | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 54:41 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:37 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 50:58 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | DVTK | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36:52 | -16 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika ✔ | 29 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 27:63 | -36 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.
