Result
1:3
24/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Hungary | Duna World / M4 Sport +, M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.11 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
86% (366/428) | 87% (466/534) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 1.11 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.49 | 1.92 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 9 |
Passes |
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86% (366/428) | 87% (466/534) |
Long passes |
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62% (31/50) | 39% (17/44) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (91/126) | 71% (80/112) |
Crosses |
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24% (5/21) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.05 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 13 |
Tackles |
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80% (8/10) | 86% (12/14) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 34 |
Clearances |
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14 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.92 | 0.49 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.08 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Ljujic M. ⚽, Brodic F. (A),
- 21', Kata M. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Horvath A. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
- 33', Kata M. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
- 36', Gergenyi B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Horvath K. ⚽, Bese B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kovacs P. ↓, Bene D. ↑,
- 55', Nagy Z. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 3, Beridze G. ⚽, Horvath K. (A),
- 60', Tajti M. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
- 67', Bognar I. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 68', Molnar R. ↓, Csucsanszky Z. ↑,
- 70', Ljujic M. ↓, Fiola A. ↑,
- 72', Brodic F. 🟨,
- 78', Jurina M. 🟨,
- 78', Fiola A. 🟨,
- 80', Gergenyi B. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 80', Beridze G. ↓, Simon K. ↑,
- 80', Brodic F. ↓, Ganea G. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 87', Gruber Z. ↓, Balazs J. ↑,
- 88', Kadar T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest 45.8% | Draw 24.8% | Ujpest 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+1%)
MTK Budapest - Ujpest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↓ (2.07) |
3.77 ↑ (3.75) |
3.16 ↑ (3.04) |
7.3% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Ujpest?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MTK (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Ujpest (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 5.
- Recent form of MTK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ujpest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- MTK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- MTK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:20. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 2.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Ujpest?
MTK Budapest has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against MTK Budapest?
Ujpest has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Ujpest were as follows:
01.03.2025
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:5
26.10.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
4:1
21.04.2024
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:2
02.02.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
3:0
23.09.2023
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
0:2
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ujpest | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Puskas Academy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Debrecen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Gyor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
5 | Kisvarda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Paks | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Zalaegerszegi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Nyiregyhaza | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | MTK Budapest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Kazincbarcikai | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
12 | DVTK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.