Result
1:3
24/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Duna World / M4 Sport +, M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/428) | 87% (466/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/428) | 87% (466/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (31/50) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (91/126) | 71% (80/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Ljujic M. ⚽, Brodic F. (A),
- 21', Kata M. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Horvath A. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
- 33', Kata M. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
- 36', Gergenyi B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Horvath K. ⚽, Bese B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kovacs P. ↓, Bene D. ↑,
- 55', Nagy Z. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 3, Beridze G. ⚽, Horvath K. (A),
- 60', Tajti M. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
- 67', Bognar I. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 68', Molnar R. ↓, Csucsanszky Z. ↑,
- 70', Ljujic M. ↓, Fiola A. ↑,
- 72', Brodic F. 🟨,
- 78', Jurina M. 🟨,
- 78', Fiola A. 🟨,
- 80', Gergenyi B. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 80', Beridze G. ↓, Simon K. ↑,
- 80', Brodic F. ↓, Ganea G. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 87', Gruber Z. ↓, Balazs J. ↑,
- 88', Kadar T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
45.8% | Draw
24.8% | Ujpest
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+1%)
MTK Budapest - Ujpest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.07) |
3.77 ↑
(3.75) |
3.16 ↑
(3.04) |
7.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Ujpest?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MTK (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Ujpest (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 5.
- Recent form of MTK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ujpest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- MTK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- MTK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:20. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 2.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Ujpest?
MTK Budapest has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against MTK Budapest?
Ujpest has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Ujpest were as follows:
01.03.2025
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:5
26.10.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
4:1
21.04.2024
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:2
02.02.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
3:0
23.09.2023
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
0:2
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Paks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Kisvarda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | Gyor | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8:8 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | DVTK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
