Result
3:4
13/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 17
- Referee: Kapraly M. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (413/484) | 83% (392/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (413/484) | 83% (392/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (43/77) | 33% (17/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (64/99) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Lacoux T. (Own goal),
- 41', Nunes J. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Matko A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Kobouri D. ↓, Feher C. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Kovacs P. (Own goal),
- 58', Kovacs P. ↓, Torocsik P. ↑,
- 58', Horvath A. ↓, Szepe J. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Torocsik P. ⚽, Varju B. (A),
- 68', Ljujic M. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
- 68', Tajti M. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
- 75', Molnar A. ↓, Jurina M. ↑,
- 76', Feher C. ↓, Gergenyi B. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, Matko A. ⚽,
- 79', Kaczvinszki D. 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 3, Nemeth H. ⚽,
- 84', 3 - 4, Horvath K. ⚽, Ademi A. (A),
- 88', Plsek J. 🟨,
- 90', Jurina M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kaczvinszki D. ↓, Tucic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
38.4% | Draw
26.3% | Ujpest
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
MTK Budapest - Ujpest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.42) |
3.57 ↓
(3.72) |
2.64 ↑
(2.57) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Ujpest?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ujpest will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): MTK Budapest will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 4.
- MTK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ujpest has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, MTK has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Ujpest?
MTK Budapest has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against MTK Budapest?
Ujpest has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Ujpest were as follows:
30.08.2025
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:2
24.05.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
1:3
01.03.2025
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:5
26.10.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
4:1
21.04.2024
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:2
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 53:28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:32 | 9 | 45 |
| 4 | Zalaegerszegi | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Paks | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 49:38 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 38:45 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 45:56 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | DVTK | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 26:55 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
