Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 6
- Referee: Csonka B. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (417/498) | 79% (268/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (417/498) | 79% (268/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (114/151) | 58% (40/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Matko A. ⚽, Tucic M. (A),
- 38', Kata M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Molnar A. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
- 54', Lehoczky R. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Kerezsi Z. ⚽,
- 58', Rasak D. ↓, Ljujic M. ↑,
- 58', Atrok I. ↓, Nemeth H. ↑,
- 68', Lehoczky R. ↓, Szepe J. ↑,
- 68', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Bognar I. ↑,
- 72', Matko A. ↓, Brodic F. ↑,
- 72', Horvath K. ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
- 76', Beridze G. 🟨,
- 78', Kobouri D. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 78', Lacoux T. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
- 79', Jurina M. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Bognar I. ⚽, Polievka R. (A),
- 90+1', Tucic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ujpest
47.5% | Draw
25.8% | MTK Budapest
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ujpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Ujpest - MTK Budapest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.07) |
3.6 ↓
(3.72) |
3.52 ↑
(3.04) |
7.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ujpest - MTK Budapest?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 1.
- In recent matches, Ujpest has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- MTK has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MTK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, MTK has had a series of home games.
- Ujpest might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 23:43. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 0.8:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against MTK Budapest?
Ujpest has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Ujpest?
MTK Budapest has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - MTK Budapest were as follows:
24.05.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
1:3
01.03.2025
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:5
26.10.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
4:1
21.04.2024
Ujpest
-
MTK Budapest
1:2
02.02.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Ujpest
3:0
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | MTK Budapest | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Kisvarda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 16 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Gyor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Debrecen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | DVTK | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Kazincbarcikai | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
