Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Imbusia A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Wafula D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mara Sugar
36.4% | Draw
32.7% | Ulinzi Stars
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mara Sugar's form might have worsened.Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulinzi Stars's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(1.95) |
2.76 ↓
(2.95) |
2.92 ↓
(4.1) |
11%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Mara Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mara Sugar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Mara Sugar is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Ulinzi Stars?
Mara Sugar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulinzi Stars won against Mara Sugar?
Ulinzi Stars has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars were as follows:
05.10.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Mara Sugar
1:2
04.05.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Ulinzi Stars
1:1
12.01.2025
Ulinzi Stars
-
Mara Sugar
1:0
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Leopards | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 33:18 | 15 | 49 |
| 3 | Police FC | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Shabana | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 40 |
| 5 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 35:26 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | Muranga | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Tusker | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 37 |
| 8 | Bandari | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | KCB | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 25:27 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Mara Sugar | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 18:28 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Bidco United | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15:34 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
