Schalke 04 vs Ulm 1846 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.55
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
83% (403/485)76% (271/355)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.330.75
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2416
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
83% (403/485)76% (271/355)
Long passes
33% (15/45)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
76% (96/126)58% (55/95)
Crosses
41% (7/17)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.260.48
Fouls
1510
Tackles
65% (13/20)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4753
Clearances Total
2414
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.752.33
Goals prevented
-0.250.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Higl F. , Batista Meier O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', 1 - 1, Seguin P. , Karaman K. (A),
  • 64', Barkok A. , Gruger M. ,
  • 64', Younes A. , Ba P. M. ,
  • 67', Roser L. , Telalovic S. ,
  • 67', Batista Meier O. , Krattenmacher M. ,
  • 74', Donkor A. , Murkin D. J. ,
  • 74', Sylla M. , Mohr T. ,
  • 75', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
  • 81', Ba P. M. 🟨,
  • 83', Higl F. , Kahvic A. ,
  • 86', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Kaminski M. , Seguin P. (A),
  • 90+1', Strompf P. , Kolbe N. ,
  • 90+3', Ba P. M. , Talabidi M. ,

Chances of winning


Schalke 04
50.6%
Draw
24.7%
Ulm 1846
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 24.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 24% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.89)
    3.74
    (3.88)
    3.86
    (3.62)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Schalke (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Schalke 04 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • Schalke is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Ulm is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ulm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Schalke will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Bayindir A. (Thigh Injury) Bulut T. (Injury) Drexler D. (Suspended) Hamache I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hojlund E. (Hamstring Injury) Karius L. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Ulm: Geyer T. (Illness) Hyrylainen L. (Yellow Cards) Stoll L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ulm: Ortag C. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Schalke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04 0:0
    08.09.2023 Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04 2:4
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    28.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt 2:1
    20.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 2:0
    16.03.2025 Karlsruher - Ulm 1846 0:0
    08.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Köln 0:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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