Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (403/485) | 76% (271/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (403/485) | 76% (271/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/45) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (96/126) | 58% (55/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.48 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Higl F. ⚽, Batista Meier O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', 1 - 1, Seguin P. ⚽, Karaman K. (A),
- 64', Barkok A. ↓, Gruger M. ↑,
- 64', Younes A. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
- 67', Roser L. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
- 67', Batista Meier O. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
- 74', Donkor A. ↓, Murkin D. J. ↑,
- 74', Sylla M. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
- 75', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
- 81', Ba P. M. 🟨,
- 83', Higl F. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
- 86', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Kaminski M. ⚽, Seguin P. (A),
- 90+1', Strompf P. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
- 90+3', Ba P. M. ↓, Talabidi M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Schalke 04
50.6% | Draw
24.7% | Ulm 1846
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.89) |
3.74 ↓
(3.88) |
3.86 ↑
(3.62) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Schalke 04 will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
- Schalke is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Ulm is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ulm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Schalke will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z.
(Knee Injury)
Bayindir A.
(Thigh Injury)
Bulut T.
(Injury)
Drexler D.
(Suspended)
Hamache I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Hojlund E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Karius L.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Ulm: Geyer T.
(Illness)
Hyrylainen L.
(Yellow Cards)
Stoll L.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Ulm: Ortag C.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Schalke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Ulm 1846?
Schalke 04 has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Schalke 04?
Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 were as follows:
01.11.2024
Ulm 1846
-
Schalke 04
0:0
08.09.2023
Ulm 1846
-
Schalke 04
2:4
Latest results of Schalke 04
Latest results of Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Hannover | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Braunschweig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Paderborn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Greuther Furth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Schalke | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Elversberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Dusseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
