Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Ludwigson G. ⚽,
- 32', Jeong J. ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yoon Jae-Seok ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
- 56', Baek In-Woo ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
- 64', Lee K. ↓, Shin Chang-Moo ↑,
- 64', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
- 68', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑,
- 68', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
- 73', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Bojanic D. ↑,
- 75', Byeon Jun-Soo 🟨,
- 75', Moon Min-seo 🟨,
- 75', Erick Farias 🟨,
- 83', Ludwigson G. ↓, Lee H. ↑,
- 83', Erick Farias ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
- 90+2', Jo Hyeon-Woo 🟨,
- 90+10', 🟨,
- 90+12', Ha Seung-Un 🟨,
- 90+13', 2 - 0, Lee Chung-Yong (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ulsan HD
43.5% | Draw
28.6% | Gwangju
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan HD's form might have worsened.Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Ulsan HD - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.91) |
3.3 ↓
(3.45) |
3.33 ↓
(3.92) |
5.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Gwangju?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
- Ulsan is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Gwangju has had a series of away games.
- Ulsan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Gwangju?
Ulsan HD has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Ulsan HD?
Gwangju has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Gwangju were as follows:
02.07.2025
Gwangju
-
Ulsan HD
1:0
28.05.2025
Gwangju
-
Ulsan HD
1:1
02.05.2025
Ulsan HD
-
Gwangju
3:0
28.08.2024
Ulsan HD
-
Gwangju
2:2
25.08.2024
Gwangju
-
Ulsan HD
0:1
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Latest results of Gwangju
South Korean K-League 1 Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 57:27 | 30 | 71 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 53:37 | 16 | 55 |
| 3 | Daejeon | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 48:41 | 7 | 55 |
| 4 | Pohang | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 40:43 | -3 | 51 |
| 5 | Seoul | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 6 | Gangwon | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 44 |
| 7 | Anyang | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 42:41 | 1 | 42 |
| 8 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 42 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 39:43 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | Suwon FC | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48:53 | -5 | 38 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 35:47 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Daegu | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 41:62 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
