Result
4:2
16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Sabbag P. ⚽, Willyan (A),
- 6', 1 - 1, Marcao ⚽, Lee Chung-Yong (A),
- 38', Andrigo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Lee Chung-Yong ↓, Lee Jin-Hyun ↑,
- 46', Kim Young-Gwon ↓, Lee Jae-Ik ↑,
- 46', Choi Seok-Hyun ↓, Cho Hyun-Taek ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Willyan (Pen),
- 66', Andrigo ↓, Ahn Hyun-Beom ↑,
- 66', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Lee S. ↑,
- 70', Marcao ↓, Erick Farias ↑,
- 70', Yoon Jae-Seok ↓, Kang Sang-Woo ↑,
- 74', Willyan ↓, Kyeong-min K. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 1, Sabbag P. ⚽,
- 87', Luan Dias ↓, Roh Kyung-Ho ↑,
- 90+1', Hwang Jae-yun 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Roh Kyung-Ho ⚽, Sabbag P. (A),
- 90+8', 4 - 2, Ludwigson G. ⚽, Lee Jin-Hyun (A),
Chances of winning
Suwon
28.3% | Draw
25.6% | Ulsan HD
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Suwon - Ulsan HD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↓
(3.37) |
3.64 ↑
(3.51) |
2.04 ↑
(2.02) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Suwon - Ulsan HD?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Ulsan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.
- Suwon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ulsan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ulsan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 23:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Suwon won against Ulsan HD?
Suwon has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Suwon?
Ulsan HD has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Ulsan HD were as follows:
02.08.2025
Ulsan HD
-
Suwon
2:3
16.03.2025
Suwon
-
Ulsan HD
1:1
23.11.2024
Ulsan HD
-
Suwon
4:2
18.08.2024
Ulsan HD
-
Suwon
1:2
05.07.2024
Suwon
-
Ulsan HD
1:1
Latest results of Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 49:23 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:28 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Pohang | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Daejeon | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 37:35 | 2 | 42 |
| 5 | Seoul | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 35 |
| 7 | Gangwon | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 35 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 | Suwon FC | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Jeju SK | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Anyang | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 33:37 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | Daegu ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28:52 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
