Bandırmaspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 9
  • Referee: Kendirciler Y. A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.510.82
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
83% (349/420)71% (206/290)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.510.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.470.60
Total shots
195
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
711
Passes
83% (349/420)71% (206/290)
Long passes
49% (20/41)35% (22/63)
Passes in final third
73% (113/155)48% (36/75)
Crosses
22% (5/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.980.52
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
117
Tackles
60% (6/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.602.47
Goals prevented
-0.400.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Douglas Tanque , Burgaz G. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Celik B. , Benny (A),
  • 26', Bulbul A. T. , Ozdemir T. ,
  • 32', Kaplan E. 🟥,
  • 38', Ndongala D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Albayrak M. , Topalli J. ,
  • 48', Bardhi J. , Goksu S. ,
  • 59', Burgaz G. , Acar E. ,
  • 62', Aydin E. 🟨,
  • 77', Aydin E. , Esendemir Y. ,
  • 77', Topalli J. , Samake W. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Mulumba R. (Pen),
  • 85', Ndongala D. , Kalender T. ,
  • 90+2', Celik B. , Kosoko T. ,
  • 90+2', Hoti E. , Kocaturk Y. ,
  • 90+4', Mulumba R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bandırmaspor
58%
Draw
24.1%
Umraniyespor
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 22.1% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 21.4% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bandırmaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.49)
    3.85
    (4.2)
    5.14
    (5.96)
    8.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bandırmaspor (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 4.
    • Bandırmaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Umraniyespor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Bandırmaspor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Berisbek R. (Yellow Cards) Celibkay T. (Inactive) Gumuskaya M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Soukou C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Turkmen C. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bandırmaspor won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bandırmaspor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor 2:0
    05.10.2024 Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor 1:1
    24.02.2024 Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor 4:1
    29.09.2023 Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor 0:1
    Latest results of Bandırmaspor
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    27.09.2025 Umraniyespor - Çorum 1:1
    23.09.2025 Boluspor - Umraniyespor 0:1
    19.09.2025 Umraniyespor - Igdirspor 0:1
    30.08.2025 Umraniyespor - Erokspor 0:2
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bodrumspor1063125:91621
    2Corum1063119:91021
    3Erokspor1062228:121620
    4Amedspor1061325:151019
    5Pendikspor1054119:91019
    6Erzurumspor1147019:10919
    7Igdir FK1053217:13418
    8Vanspor FK1145214:10417
    9Bandirmaspor1043315:12315
    10Sivasspor1135314:10414
    11Sakaryaspor1042418:20-214
    12Boluspor1034316:14213
    13Serik Spor103439:14-513
    14Istanbulspor AS1026212:12012
    15Keciorengucu1025310:12-211
    16Manisa FK1124514:20-610
    17Sariyer1122710:15-58
    18Umraniyespor112277:18-118
    19Hatayspor1104711:30-194
    20Adana Demirspor1101106:44-38-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
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          Relegation