Umraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul).

1. Lig - Round 28
Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.49
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
8	5
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
12	4
Passes
79% (356/450)	74% (225/304)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.05	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.68	1.22
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
4	0
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
10	2
Shots outside the box
6	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
12	4
Touches in opposition box
28	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
11	10
Passes
79% (356/450)	74% (225/304)
Long passes
47% (28/60)	32% (22/68)
Passes in final third
66% (82/124)	66% (57/87)
Crosses
36% (10/28)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.36	0.52
Throw ins
18	18
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
69% (11/16)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
54	48
Clearances
25	33
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	7
xGOT faced
1.22	1.68
Goals prevented
-0.78	0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Glumac T. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Bulbul A. T. ⚽, Benny (A),
19', Ceylan O. ↓, Ciftci H. ↑,
21', Albayrak M. 🟨,
41', Bardhi J. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Amaral J. ⚽, Fall M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Glumac T. ↓, Oksuz B. ↑,
46', Ndongala D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
73', Babacan A. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
77', Fall M. ↓, Kehinde T. ↑,
77', Amaral J. ↓, Acar E. ↑,
78', Ciftci H. 🟨,
80', Parmak A. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Acar E. ⚽, Cinemre E. (A),
89', Soukou C. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
89', Benny ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
90+2', Douglas Tanque ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Umraniyespor
37.5%

Draw
27.5%

Bandırmaspor
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.47)	3.38 ↓ (3.55)	2.64 ↑ (2.56)	8.2% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Umraniyespor (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Umraniyespor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Aydin E. (Yellow Cards) Celibkay T. (Inactive) Kalender T. (Eye injury) Mulumba R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Akyazi K. (Injury) Burgaz G. (Injury) Ciftci H. (Injury) Hountondji C. (Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Bandırmaspor?

Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Umraniyespor?

Bandırmaspor has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor were as follows:

04.10.2025 Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor 2:1

02.03.2025 Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor 2:0

05.10.2024 Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor 1:1

24.02.2024 Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor 4:1

29.09.2023 Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor 0:1

Latest results of Umraniyespor

22.02.2026 Çorum - Umraniyespor 2:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Umraniyespor - Boluspor 4:2 ✺

13.02.2026 Igdirspor - Umraniyespor 1:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Umraniyespor - İstanbulspor 0:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Erokspor - Umraniyespor 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bandırmaspor

22.02.2026 Bandırmaspor - Hatayspor 4:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor 3:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Bandırmaspor - Serik Belediyespor 0:3 ✺

08.02.2026 Keçiörengücü - Bandırmaspor 3:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Bandırmaspor - Vanspor 2:0 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	32	20	9	3	74:23	51	69
2	Amedspor	32	20	7	5	68:32	36	67
3	Erokspor	32	18	9	5	73:30	43	63
4	Corum	32	19	5	8	53:34	19	62
5	Bodrumspor	32	17	6	9	67:35	32	57
6	Pendikspor	32	14	12	6	49:27	22	54
7	Bandirmaspor	32	13	9	10	42:33	9	48
8	Keciorengucu	32	12	11	9	63:40	23	47
9	Sivasspor	32	12	11	9	40:31	9	47
10	Igdir FK	32	12	9	11	40:44	-4	45
11	Vanspor FK	32	11	10	11	42:35	7	43
12	Manisa FK	32	12	7	13	46:52	-6	43
13	Boluspor	32	12	6	14	50:44	6	42
14	Umraniyespor	32	11	6	15	38:41	-3	39
15	Sariyer	32	11	6	15	34:41	-7	39
16	Istanbulspor AS	32	9	12	11	38:48	-10	39
17	Serik Spor	32	10	5	17	38:60	-22	35
18	Sakaryaspor	32	8	8	16	41:56	-15	32
19	Hatayspor	32	0	7	25	22:88	-66	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	32	0	3	29	17:141	-124	-57

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to