Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor
Result
1:0
09/02/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 23
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.95
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
26
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1411
Offsides
41
Fouls
1114
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2020
Touches in the Opposition Box
2024
Passes
79% (357/453)72% (268/372)
Passes in the final third
69% (108/157)58% (69/118)
Crosses
18% (3/17)36% (4/11)
Tackles
50% (6/12)78% (14/18)
Clearances Total
2523
Interceptions
1713

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Bulbul A. T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Benny 🟨,
  • 73', Babacan A. , Goksu S. ,
  • 73', Hoti E. , Eser M. ,
  • 78', Camacho J. 🟨,
  • 80', Camacho J. , Dovedan N. ,
  • 81', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
  • 84', Dokanovic A. , Celik B. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Cankaya A. R. , Djilobodji P. (A),
  • 88', Gray A. , Mert M. ,
  • 90', Gurpuz G. , Dabanli B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
44%
Draw
27.8%
Umraniyespor
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 25.1% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 24% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.
  • Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umraniyespor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Umraniyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.74)
    3.36
    (3.72)
    3.32
    (4.36)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor?
  • Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 3.
    • Recent matches Karagümrük is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Umraniyespor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Karagümrük have a series of guest games.
    • Karagümrük will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Apaydin F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Kocaturk Y. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:11 (average 2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    18.12.2024 Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:2
    31.08.2024 Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:2
    18.04.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor 4:2
    22.10.2022 Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:3
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erokspor961227:111619
    2Pendikspor953118:81018
    3Corum953115:8718
    4Bodrumspor852119:81117
    5Erzurumspor835015:8714
    6Bandirmaspor942314:11314
    7Igdir FK842214:11314
    8Amedspor841319:13613
    9Boluspor933315:13212
    10Vanspor FK83328:6212
    11Serik Spor83328:12-412
    12Sivasspor832313:9411
    13Istanbulspor AS825110:9111
    14Keciorengucu82429:8110
    15Manisa FK922513:19-68
    16Umraniyespor92256:13-78
    17Sakaryaspor822410:19-98
    18Sariyer81166:12-64
    19Hatayspor80359:20-113
    20Adana Demirspor90184:34-30-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation