Result
1:0
09/02/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 23
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (357/453) | 72% (268/372) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 69% (108/157) | 58% (69/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 36% (4/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 78% (14/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Bulbul A. T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Benny 🟨,
- 73', Babacan A. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
- 73', Hoti E. ↓, Eser M. ↑,
- 78', Camacho J. 🟨,
- 80', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
- 81', Demir Y. E. 🟨,
- 84', Dokanovic A. ↓, Celik B. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Cankaya A. R. ⚽, Djilobodji P. (A),
- 88', Gray A. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
- 90', Gurpuz G. ↓, Dabanli B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
44% | Draw
27.8% | Umraniyespor
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umraniyespor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Umraniyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.74) |
3.36 ↓
(3.72) |
3.32 ↓
(4.36) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor?
Users Predictions:
Fatih Karagümrükspor will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 3.
- Recent matches Karagümrük is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Umraniyespor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Karagümrük have a series of guest games.
- Karagümrük will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Apaydin F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Kocaturk Y.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:11 (average 2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Umraniyespor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
18.12.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:2
31.08.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:2
18.04.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Umraniyespor
4:2
22.10.2022
Umraniyespor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:3
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
