Igdirspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.980.47
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
42
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
44
Passes
83% (373/452)80% (298/373)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.980.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.62
Total shots
118
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
84
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
716
Passes
83% (373/452)80% (298/373)
Long passes
48% (29/60)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
76% (103/135)68% (69/101)
Crosses
11% (2/18)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.67
Throw ins
2723
Fouls
167
Tackles
80% (12/15)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3242
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.621.78
Goals prevented
-0.380.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Loshaj F. , Bruno G. (A),
  • 17', Oksuz B. 🟨,
  • 27', Vural G. 🟨,
  • 37', Hoti E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Hoti E. , Babacan A. ,
  • 46', Oksuz B. , Kocaturk Y. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Bardhi J. , Soukou C. (A),
  • 64', Vural G. , Mendes R. ,
  • 68', Soukou C. , Benny ,
  • 69', Kosoko T. , Celik B. ,
  • 73', Erdogan D. , Guctekin O. K. ,
  • 73', Bruno G. , Koita F. ,
  • 81', Glumac T. 🟨,
  • 82', Koita F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Fofana M. , Engin A. ,
  • 88', Ekincier B. , Djokanovic A. ,

Chances of winning


Igdirspor
64.3%
Draw
20.5%
Umraniyespor
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 19.8% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 19.2% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Igdirspor - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.39)
    4.59
    (4.63)
    6.08
    (6.43)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Umraniyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
    • Igdirspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Umraniyespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Igdirspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Igdirspor is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Benny (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Yildirim O. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Umraniyespor - Igdirspor 0:1
    28.03.2025 Igdirspor - Umraniyespor 0:0
    08.11.2024 Umraniyespor - Igdirspor 0:1
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    03.02.2026 Igdirspor - Antalyaspor 6:0
    31.01.2026 Igdirspor - Manisa FK 0:0
    24.01.2026 Vanspor - Igdirspor 3:0
    19.01.2026 Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor 1:0
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to