Result
1:1
13/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/452) | 80% (298/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (373/452) | 80% (298/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (103/135) | 68% (69/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Loshaj F. ⚽, Bruno G. (A),
- 17', Oksuz B. 🟨,
- 27', Vural G. 🟨,
- 37', Hoti E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hoti E. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
- 46', Oksuz B. ↓, Kocaturk Y. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Bardhi J. ⚽, Soukou C. (A),
- 64', Vural G. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
- 68', Soukou C. ↓, Benny ↑,
- 69', Kosoko T. ↓, Celik B. ↑,
- 73', Erdogan D. ↓, Guctekin O. K. ↑,
- 73', Bruno G. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
- 81', Glumac T. 🟨,
- 82', Koita F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Fofana M. ↓, Engin A. ↑,
- 88', Ekincier B. ↓, Djokanovic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Igdirspor
64.3% | Draw
20.5% | Umraniyespor
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Igdirspor - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.39) |
4.59 ↓
(4.63) |
6.08 ↓
(6.43) |
7.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Umraniyespor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
- Igdirspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Umraniyespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Igdirspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Igdirspor is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Benny
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Yildirim O.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Umraniyespor?
Igdirspor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Igdirspor?
Umraniyespor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
19.09.2025
Umraniyespor
-
Igdirspor
0:1
28.03.2025
Igdirspor
-
Umraniyespor
0:0
08.11.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Igdirspor
0:1
Latest results of Igdirspor
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
