Umraniyespor vs Igdirspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Umraniyespor - Igdirspor
Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 6
  • Referee: Aksuoğlu F. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii Spor 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.42
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
78% (273/352)81% (433/535)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.06
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
55
Free Kicks
118
Passes
78% (273/352)81% (433/535)
Long passes
52% (33/64)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
65% (62/96)62% (79/127)
Crosses
19% (3/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.61
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
811
Tackles
75% (6/8)53% (10/19)
Duels won
3946
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.060.60
Goals prevented
0.060.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Conte A. 🟨,
  • 43', Soukou C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rotariu D. , Fofana M. ,
  • 63', Erdogan D. , Guctekin O. K. ,
  • 68', Babacan A. , Hoti E. ,
  • 77', Cavlan C. , Koita F. ,
  • 77', Akcan E. , Engin A. ,
  • 77', 0 - 1, Ozturk A. ,
  • 82', Goksu S. , Ekincier B. ,
  • 88', Soukou C. , Celik B. ,
  • 89', Vural G. , Selvi A. ,
  • 90+5', Kaplan E. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Umraniyespor
23.3%
Draw
26.5%
Igdirspor
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.6% 26.1% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7% 27.3% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igdirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Umraniyespor - Igdirspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (4.56)
    3.52
    (3.6)
    1.87
    (1.76)
    7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Igdirspor?
  • Users Predictions: Igdirspor will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Igdirspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Umraniyespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Igdirspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Igdirspor is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Igdirspor were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Igdirspor - Umraniyespor 0:0
    08.11.2024 Umraniyespor - Igdirspor 0:1
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    30.08.2025 Manisa FK - Igdirspor 1:1
    23.08.2025 Igdirspor - Vanspor 0:0
    17.08.2025 Sakaryaspor - Igdirspor 3:2
    09.08.2025 Igdirspor - Sarıyer 2:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erokspor961227:111619
    2Pendikspor953118:81018
    3Corum953115:8718
    4Bodrumspor852119:81117
    5Erzurumspor936016:9715
    6Bandirmaspor942314:11314
    7Igdir FK842214:11314
    8Amedspor841319:13613
    9Vanspor FK93429:7213
    10Boluspor933315:13212
    11Serik Spor83328:12-412
    12Sivasspor832313:9411
    13Istanbulspor AS825110:9111
    14Keciorengucu82429:8110
    15Manisa FK922513:19-68
    16Umraniyespor92256:13-78
    17Sakaryaspor822410:19-98
    18Sariyer81166:12-64
    19Hatayspor80359:20-113
    20Adana Demirspor90184:34-30-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation