Keçiörengücü vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 19
  • Referee: Erdemir B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.57
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
79% (283/359)86% (398/463)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.92
Total shots
138
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
178
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
811
Passes
79% (283/359)86% (398/463)
Long passes
51% (30/59)62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
73% (61/83)71% (89/126)
Crosses
33% (3/9)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.97
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
118
Tackles
71% (15/21)57% (13/23)
Duels won
4043
Clearances
2310
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.921.47
Goals prevented
-0.08-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Fernandes J. ,
  • 27', Dere A. 🟨,
  • 37', Akdag I. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Wellington Nascimento , Bulut H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ozdemir T. , Ekincier B. ,
  • 46', Goksu S. , Hoti E. ,
  • 55', Bulbul A. T. 🟨,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Ezeh F. ,
  • 66', Bulbul A. T. , Kaplan E. ,
  • 66', Celik B. , Kosoko T. ,
  • 72', Diouf M. 🟨,
  • 73', Fernandes J. , Ayan H. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Hoti E. , Benny (A),
  • 84', Bulut H. , Bilgic H. ,
  • 84', Ezeh F. , Lus S. ,
  • 85', Bardhi J. , Babacan A. ,
  • 90+1', Roshi O. , Osman H. ,
  • 90+1', Akdag I. , Develi E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Keçiörengücü
63.3%
Draw
22.7%
Umraniyespor
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 20.3% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 21.4% 14.3%

Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.45
(1.44)
4.11
(4.59)
6.69
(6.14)
8.3%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Keçiörengücü (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 2 - 50%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Keçiörengücü is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Akan M. (Inactive) Keskin B. (Suspended) Mexer (International duty) Tasbakir R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Bulut H. (Injury)
    • We predict that Keçiörengücü will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor 0:1
    15.12.2024 Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü 1:2
    28.04.2024 Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor 4:2
    09.12.2023 Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü 2:0
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    14.12.2025 Vanspor - Umraniyespor 0:1
    06.12.2025 Umraniyespor - Amed SK 3:4
    29.11.2025 Sakaryaspor - Umraniyespor 1:1
    23.11.2025 Umraniyespor - Bodrumspor 1:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amedspor24154553:282549
    2Erzurumspor24139244:182648
    3Erokspor24138355:203547
    4Bodrumspor24126649:202942
    5Corum24125736:261041
    6Pendikspor24109534:211339
    7Igdir FK24107733:32137
    8Keciorengucu2499646:281836
    9Bandirmaspor24106832:25736
    10Boluspor24105942:321035
    11Vanspor FK2497833:24934
    12Manisa FK2497836:34234
    13Istanbulspor AS24711631:33-232
    14Sivasspor2479827:24330
    15Sariyer24931224:32-830
    16Umraniyespor24841227:31-428
    17Serik Spor24751224:46-2226
    18Sakaryaspor24651332:45-1323
    19Hatayspor24071718:65-477
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 24022215:107-92-28

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to