Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/10/2025 at  22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports | 
|  South-america | ViX Latin America | 
|  Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.12 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 52% | 48% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 90% (428/474) | 88% (382/432) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.12 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.12 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 18 | 20 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 90% (428/474) | 88% (382/432) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 73% (32/44) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 73% (75/103) | 76% (91/120) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 27% (3/11) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.57 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 18 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 9 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 78% (7/9) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 40 | 29 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 22 | 16 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.57 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.57 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Beltran Cruz F. 🟨, 
- 42', Medina A. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Rivas U. 🟨, 
- 56', Rodriguez E. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑, 
- 57', 1 - 0, Alvarado A. ⚽, Moreno I. (A), 
- 61', Nathan Silva (Pen), 
- 70', Monroy P. ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑, 
- 70', Azuaje A. ↓, Vite P. ↑, 
- 73', Diaz I. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑, 
- 78', Moreno I. ↓, Santos S. ↑, 
- 79', Alvarado A. ↓, Ayon E. ↑, 
- 82', Rivas U. ↓, Macias J. ↑, 
- 86', Medina A. ↓, Rico A. ↑, 
- 90', 1 - 1, Macias J. (Pen), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Club León 31.5%
 | Draw 27%
 | UNAM 41.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Club León - UNAM Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.01 ↑ (2.68)
 | 3.51 ↓ (3.55)
 | 2.31 ↓ (2.38)
 | 5% (7.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Club León - UNAM?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 2 - 25%). UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 0.
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in León: Barreiro S.
(Yellow Cards)
Fonseca N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in UNAM: Caicedo J.
(Yellow Cards)
Martinez G.
(Foot Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in León: Arcila D.
(Leg Injury)
Funes Mori R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, León won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.9:1.1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Club León won against UNAM?
                    
                    
                        
                            Club León has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Club León?
                    
                    
                        
                             UNAM has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Club León - UNAM were as follows:
                                                        
                                30.03.2025 
                                Club León 
                                - 
                                UNAM 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.07.2024 
                                UNAM 
                                - 
                                Club León 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.04.2024 
                                UNAM 
                                - 
                                Club León 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                31.10.2023 
                                Club León 
                                - 
                                UNAM 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.01.2023 
                                UNAM 
                                - 
                                Club León 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Club León                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41:18 | 23 | 33 | 
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 | 
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 | 
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 | 
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 | 
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 | 
| 7 | Pachuca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 | 
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 | 
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | 
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 | 
| 12 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 | 
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | 
| 14 | Queretaro | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 | 
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 | 
| 16 | Necaxa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 13 | 
| 17 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 | 
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)