Result
3:2
05/04/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Huitron D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (325/402) | 81% (316/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (325/402) | 81% (316/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 54% (36/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (40/68) | 68% (81/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.53 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', Funes Mori R. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Pussetto I. ⚽, Monroy P. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Rotondi C. ⚽,
- 45', Nathan Silva (Pen),
- 45+7', 2 - 1, Montano A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 46', Jimenez C. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
- 50', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 1, Rotondi C. ⚽, Fernandez G. (A),
- 62', Funes Mori R. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 62', Trigos S. ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
- 63', Pussetto I. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- 64', Rotondi C. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
- 66', Giakoumakis G. 🟨,
- 71', Romero L. 🟨,
- 72', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 75', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Ergas R. ↑,
- 75', Suarez L. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
- 76', Montano A. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 76', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Rivero I. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Carrasquilla A. (Pen),
- 83', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
54.4% | Draw
26.2% | UNAM
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Cruz Azul - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.72) |
3.61 ↓
(3.74) |
4.83 ↑
(4.75) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). UNAM will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - UNAM (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH -1.5 - UNAM (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruz Azul won 2.
- Cruz Azul is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches UNAM is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- UNAM could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently UNAM have a series of guest games.
- In this match Cruz Azul is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Piovi G.
(Yellow Cards)
- Our prediction for today's Cruz Azul to win the game is with odds 1.7.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cruz Azul won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:25 (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against UNAM?
Cruz Azul has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Cruz Azul?
UNAM has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - UNAM were as follows:
26.10.2024
UNAM
-
Cruz Azul
0:2
12.05.2024
Cruz Azul
-
UNAM
2:2
09.05.2024
UNAM
-
Cruz Azul
0:2
30.03.2024
UNAM
-
Cruz Azul
0:0
07.10.2023
Cruz Azul
-
UNAM
1:4
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Juarez | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Puebla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | UNAM Pumas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
