Result
2:3
08/11/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (253/317) | 87% (416/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (253/317) | 87% (416/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 52% (22/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (74/100) | 77% (118/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Ruvalcaba J. ⚽, Angulo A. (A),
- 10', Macias J. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
- 14', 1 - 1, Fernandez G. ⚽, Sanchez J. (A),
- 19', 2 - 1, Fernandez G. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
- 45', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
- 45', Ditta W. 🟨,
- 45+6', Mier K. ↓, Gudino A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Marquez J. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 63', Bennevendo P. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 65', Faravelli L. 🟥,
- 67', 🟨,
- 70', Bogusz M. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez C. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez G. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 76', Caicedo J. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Angulo A. (Pen),
- 84', Duarte R. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 3, Medina A. ⚽, Lopez S. (A),
- 90+1', Lopez S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sepulveda A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
54.6% | Draw
24% | UNAM
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Cruz Azul - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.68) |
3.92 ↑
(3.92) |
4.38 ↓
(4.54) |
6.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - UNAM?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - UNAM (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - UNAM (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 2 - 33.3%). UNAM (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
- Cruz Azul is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- UNAM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cruz Azul is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in UNAM: Martinez G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Piovi G.
(Injury)
Rodarte J.
(Injury)
Rotondi C.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Ruvalcaba J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Cruz Azul will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against UNAM?
Cruz Azul has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Cruz Azul?
UNAM has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - UNAM were as follows:
05.04.2025
Cruz Azul
-
UNAM
3:2
26.10.2024
UNAM
-
Cruz Azul
0:2
12.05.2024
Cruz Azul
-
UNAM
2:2
09.05.2024
UNAM
-
Cruz Azul
0:2
30.03.2024
UNAM
-
Cruz Azul
0:0
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
