UNAM vs Cruz Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX
Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoCanal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.071.50
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
624
Shots on target
16
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
55
Passes
76% (243/320)76% (232/305)
Yellow cards
61
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.071.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.33
Total shots
624
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
412
Blocked shots
16
Shots inside the box
412
Shots outside the box
212
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1035
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1511
Passes
76% (243/320)76% (232/305)
Long passes
53% (35/66)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
56% (47/84)72% (76/106)
Crosses
0% (0/21)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.341.00
Throw ins
1829
Fouls
1115
Tackles
56% (10/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4654
Clearances
1629
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
1.330.66
Goals prevented
-0.67-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
  • 14', Nathan Silva 🟨,
  • 31', Rotondi C. ↓, Rodarte J. ↑,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Ibanez N. ⚽, Ditta W. (A),
  • 42', 0 - 2, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Rodarte J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Angulo A. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
  • 54', Medina A. ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
  • 54', Carrillo J. ↓, Duarte R. ↑,
  • 61', Ditta W. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Juninho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', Nathan Silva 🟨,
  • 71', Marquez J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
  • 71', Ibanez N. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
  • 72', Juninho ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
  • 74', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Ditta W. (Own goal),
  • 81', Paradela J. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
  • 81', Lira E. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
  • 82', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
  • 84', Navas K. 🟨,
  • 89', Bennevendo P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


UNAM
27.1%		Draw
26.4%		Cruz Azul
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 27.6% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 27.8% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    UNAM - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.46 ↑
    (3.23)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.36)    		 2.03 ↓
    (2.13)    		 6.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for UNAM - Cruz Azul?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Cruz Azul (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - UNAM (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
    • UNAM is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cruz Azul is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cruz Azul will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in UNAM: Macias J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruz Azul: Orozco J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Cruz Azul - UNAM 2:3
    05.04.2025 Cruz Azul - UNAM 3:2
    26.10.2024 UNAM - Cruz Azul 0:2
    12.05.2024 Cruz Azul - UNAM 2:2
    09.05.2024 UNAM - Cruz Azul 0:2
    Latest results of UNAM
    06.03.2026 Necaxa - UNAM 0:1 ✺
    03.03.2026 UNAM - Toluca 2:3 ✺
    27.02.2026 Tijuana - UNAM 1:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 UNAM - Monterrey 2:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Puebla - UNAM 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    10.03.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2:3 ✺
    07.03.2026 Cruz Azul - Atlético San Luis 3:0 ✺
    03.03.2026 Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul 1:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 0:2 ✺
    21.02.2026 Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara 2:1 ✺
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guadalajara Chivas1190222:91327
    2Cruz Azul1182122:111126
    3Toluca1174018:61225
    4Pachuca1163214:9521
    5UNAM Pumas1155120:12820
    6Tigres UANL1152417:12517
    7Club America1152413:10317
    8Atlas1152414:16-217
    9Monterrey1142516:12414
    10Club Tijuana1126312:11112
    11Puebla113359:13-412
    12Atl. San Luis1132617:19-211
    13Juarez1032516:19-311
    14Necaxa1131711:16-510
    15Mazatlan FC1131713:22-910
    16Club Leon1131711:23-1210
    17Queretaro101458:16-87
    18Santos Laguna1112812:29-175

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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