Result
1:0
09/02/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (422/502) | 80% (281/353) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (113/151) | 65% (59/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 20% (2/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 67% (8/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Benedetti N. 🟨,
- 39', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 44', Nathan Silva ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 62', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 62', Pussetto I. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 62', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- 69', Esquivel J. 🟨,
- 72', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 76', Benedetti N. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 77', Merolla L. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
- 78', Lopez S. 🟨,
- 86', Sierra J. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 86', Duarte A. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 90', Duarte R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
- 90+9', Lopez R. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
- 90+11', 1 - 0, Quispe Cordova P. A. ⚽,
- 90+12', Quispe Cordova P. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
UNAM
63.2% | Draw
23.9% | Mazatlan
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
UNAM - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.53) |
3.94 ↓
(4.1) |
7.25 ↑
(5.37) |
6.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches UNAM won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Mazatlan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match UNAM is a favorite.
- There will not play in UNAM: Suarez L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Almada F.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Rodriguez M.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches UNAM won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams UNAM won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Mazatlan?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against UNAM?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Mazatlan were as follows:
08.11.2024
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
0:1
05.04.2024
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
0:4
09.07.2023
UNAM
-
Mazatlan
0:0
24.02.2023
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
1:2
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
