Result
1:4
12/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 3.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (454/514) | 78% (213/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 3.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 2.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (454/514) | 78% (213/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (87/124) | 61% (51/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 68% (19/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.48 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.52 | 1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', Almada F. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Martinez G. (Pen),
- 14', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 18', Bennevendo P. 🟨,
- 30', Trigos S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Martinez G. ⚽, Ruvalcaba J. (A),
- 45+8', 1 - 2, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Moreno Villegas O. F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Dudu ↓, Barcenas Y. ↑,
- 54', Nathan Silva 🟨,
- 57', Benedetti N. (Pen),
- 59', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 60', Ramsey A. ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
- 60', Lopez R. ↓, Angulo A. ↑,
- 67', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
- 67', Fierro S. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 75', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 76', Sierra J. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
- 76', Esquivel J. 🟨,
- 83', Martinez G. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 83', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Medina A. ⚽, Macias J. (A),
- 90+12', 1 - 4, Macias J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
28% | Draw
28.5% | UNAM
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Mazatlan - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(3.42) |
3.27 ↓
(3.33) |
2.16 ↑
(2.1) |
6.6%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). UNAM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0.
- Recent form of Mazatlan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- UNAM could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in UNAM: Lara P.
(Injury)
Lopez S.
(Finger Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Diaz J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Esquivel J.
(Muscle Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against UNAM?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Mazatlan?
UNAM has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - UNAM were as follows:
09.02.2025
UNAM
-
Mazatlan
1:0
08.11.2024
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
0:1
05.04.2024
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
0:4
09.07.2023
UNAM
-
Mazatlan
0:0
24.02.2023
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
1:2
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
