Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Las Estrellas, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (486/549) | 87% (292/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (486/549) | 87% (292/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 64% (25/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (105/138) | 77% (67/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Morales R. ⚽, Medina A. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 1, Ovalle J. ⚽, Almada F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Navas K. 🟨,
- 58', Rubio B. 🟨,
- 60', Juninho ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
- 60', Bennevendo P. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 60', Carrillo J. ↓, Duarte R. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Antuna U. (A),
- 73', Medina A. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
- 74', Rubio B. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 74', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 74', Merolla L. ↓, Adame G. ↑,
- 82', Barcenas Y. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
- 82', Ovalle J. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
- 84', Morales R. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
- 90+4', Leyva A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
UNAM
74.1% | Draw
16.1% | Mazatlan
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAM's performance.Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mazatlan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mazatlan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UNAM - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.46) |
5.78 ↑
(4.12) |
9.56 ↑
(5.88) |
6.4%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
- Recent performances by UNAM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mazatlan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, UNAM is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in UNAM: Macias J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Diaz J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.7:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Mazatlan?
UNAM has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against UNAM?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Mazatlan were as follows:
12.09.2025
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
1:4
09.02.2025
UNAM
-
Mazatlan
1:0
08.11.2024
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
0:1
05.04.2024
Mazatlan
-
UNAM
0:4
09.07.2023
UNAM
-
Mazatlan
0:0
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
