União da Serra vs SB Castelo Branco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Campo da Portela (Santa Catarina da Serra).

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Match Stats


Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
9	4
Shots on target
6	2
Corner kicks
10	2
Total shots
9	4
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
3	2
Corner kicks
10	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Chances of winning

União da Serra
38.1%

Draw
31.3%

SB Castelo Branco
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

União da Serra - SB Castelo Branco Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.15)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	2.95 ↓ (3.11)	10.8% (10.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
União da Serra could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, União da Serra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, União da Serra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against SB Castelo Branco?

União da Serra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against União da Serra?

SB Castelo Branco has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between União da Serra - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:

26.10.2025 SB Castelo Branco - União da Serra 3:0

05.03.2023 SB Castelo Branco - União da Serra 4:3

20.11.2022 União da Serra - SB Castelo Branco 1:1

Latest results of União da Serra

22.02.2026 Eléctrico - União da Serra 2:4 ✺

15.02.2026 União da Serra - Vitória de Sernache 0:0 ✺

25.01.2026 União da Serra - Naval 2:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Mortágua - União da Serra 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 União da Serra - Fatima 0:0 ✺

Latest results of SB Castelo Branco

21.02.2026 Lajense - SB Castelo Branco 2:3 ✺

15.02.2026 SB Castelo Branco - Eléctrico 6:1 ✺

25.01.2026 SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas 0:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Naval - SB Castelo Branco 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua 3:1 ✺

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vitoria Sernache	26	16	7	3	33:12	21	55
2	Oliveira Hospital	26	14	8	4	39:13	26	50
3	Naval 1893	26	14	6	6	36:23	13	48
4	SB Castelo Branco	26	14	4	8	43:26	17	46
5	Uniao Da Serra	26	12	8	6	38:27	11	44
6	Mortagua	26	11	6	9	23:26	-3	39
7	Os Marialvas	26	10	6	10	33:28	5	36
8	Fatima	26	8	8	10	27:29	-2	32
9	Lajense	26	8	8	10	37:37	0	32
10	Peniche	26	8	6	12	34:43	-9	30
11	Samora Correia	26	8	5	13	27:35	-8	29
12	Marinhense	26	5	9	12	20:38	-18	24
13	Electrico	26	5	4	17	33:62	-29	19
14	SC Lusitania	26	4	5	17	24:48	-24	17

Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation