Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

Bundesliga - Round 19
Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	Caze TV, SporTV, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.24	1.89
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
3	5
Big chances
1	4
Corner kicks
7	2
Passes
71% (269/377)	69% (208/300)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.24	1.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.82	2.30
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked shots
1	5
Shots inside the box
8	11
Shots outside the box
2	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	4
Corner kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
21	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
16	10
Passes
71% (269/377)	69% (208/300)
Long passes
41% (29/71)	35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
51% (61/119)	52% (51/99)
Crosses
31% (9/29)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	1.63
Throw ins
20	19
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
44% (8/18)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
67	69
Clearances
20	32
Interceptions
11	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.30	1.82
Goals prevented
-0.70	1.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Can E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Schlotterbeck N. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
59', Can E. 🟨,
66', Ansah I. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
66', Juranovic J. ↓, Nsoki S. ↑,
69', Can E. ↓, Anselmino A. ↑,
76', Leite D. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
76', Kemlein A. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
79', Silva F. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Beier M. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
86', Haberer J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Union Berlin
28.4%

Draw
29.3%

Borussia Dortmund
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.6%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

28.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Berlin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.82)	3.28 ↓ (3.58)	2.26 ↑ (1.96)	4.2% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund?

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 10 - 19.6%). Borussia D will win (votes: 30 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 45.3% – 72.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Borussia D (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Union Berlin (1.66) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.25 - Union Berlin (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 8 - 32%). Borussia D (votes: 13 - 52%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Union Berlin has had a series of away games.
Borussia D will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Knock) Kohn D. (Red Card) Rothe T. (Injury) Skarke T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Borussia D: Sabitzer M. (Calf Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:42. (average 1.1:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Borussia Dortmund?

Union Berlin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Union Berlin?

Borussia Dortmund has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:

31.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 3:0

22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0

05.10.2024 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 2:1

02.03.2024 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 0:2

07.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 4:2

Latest results of Union Berlin

18.01.2026 Stuttgart - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺

15.01.2026 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:2 ✺

05.01.2026 Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

20.01.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺

13.01.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen 3:0 ✺

09.01.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund 3:3 ✺

19.12.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	24	20	3	1	88:23	65	63
2	Dortmund	24	15	7	2	51:25	26	52
3	Hoffenheim	24	14	4	6	49:31	18	46
4	Stuttgart	24	14	4	6	48:32	16	46
5	RB Leipzig	24	13	5	6	46:33	13	44
6	Bayer Leverkusen	23	12	4	7	44:29	15	40
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	24	9	7	8	48:49	-1	34
8	Freiburg	24	9	6	9	34:39	-5	33
9	Augsburg	24	9	4	11	30:41	-11	31
10	Union Berlin	24	7	7	10	29:38	-9	28
11	Hamburger SV	23	6	8	9	26:34	-8	26
12	B. Monchengladbach	24	6	7	11	27:39	-12	25
13	FC Koln	24	6	6	12	33:41	-8	24
14	Mainz	24	5	8	11	27:39	-12	23
15	St. Pauli	24	6	5	13	23:40	-17	23
16	Werder Bremen	24	5	7	12	25:44	-19	22
17	Wolfsburg	24	5	5	14	33:53	-20	20
18	Heidenheim	24	3	5	16	22:53	-31	14

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga