Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/02/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 23
Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
4.46	0.27
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Goal Attempts
24	6
Shots on Goal
9	1
Shots off Goal
10	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Big Chances
8	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Shots inside the Box
20	6
Shots outside the Box
4	0
Hit the Woodwork
3	0
Headed Goals
3	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
Free Kicks
11	10
Offsides
0	0
Fouls
10	11
Yellow Cards
2	2
Throw-ins
25	18
Touches in the Opposition Box
44	13
Passes
86% (502/581)	76% (236/311)
Passes in the final third
73% (109/149)	50% (38/76)
Crosses
36% (9/25)	29% (4/14)
Tackles
50% (8/16)	81% (13/16)
Clearances Total
16	39
Interceptions
10	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Khedira R. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Leite D. (Own goal), Ryerson J. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
56', Tousart L. 🟨,
57', Khedira R. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
57', Tousart L. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
58', Reyna G. 🟨,
69', Reyna G. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
69', Bensebaini R. ↓, Svensson D. ↑,
72', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
72', Hollerbach B. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
80', 4 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
82', Schafer A. ↓, Querfeld L. ↑,
83', 5 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
85', Guirassy S. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
85', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
85', Sabitzer M. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
89', 6 - 0, Beier M. ⚽, Gross P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Borussia Dortmund
63.5%

Draw
21.3%

Union Berlin
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.5%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	4.55 ↑ (4.28)	6.26 ↑ (5.26)	4% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin?

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Borussia D is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Jessen N. (Muscle Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 33:18 (average 2.4:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22:8 (average 3.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Union Berlin?

Borussia Dortmund has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Borussia Dortmund?

Union Berlin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin were as follows:

05.10.2024 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 2:1

02.03.2024 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 0:2

07.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 4:2

08.04.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 2:1

16.10.2022 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 2:0

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

19.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Sporting Lisbon 0:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Bochum - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 1:2 ✺

01.02.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Union Berlin

15.02.2025 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:2 ✺

08.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:4 ✺

01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0 ✺

19.01.2025 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball