Result
10/05/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Mainz
51.7% | Draw
25.4% | Union Berlin
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Union Berlin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mainz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Mainz - Union Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.82) |
3.7 ↓
(3.73) |
4.1 ↓
(4.11) |
6.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Union Berlin?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 0.
- Mainz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Union Berlin has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Mainz is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Union Berlin?
Mainz has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Mainz?
Union Berlin has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Union Berlin were as follows:
10.01.2026
Union Berlin
-
Mainz
2:2
19.01.2025
Union Berlin
-
Mainz
2:1
24.08.2024
Mainz
-
Union Berlin
1:1
07.02.2024
Mainz
-
Union Berlin
1:1
20.08.2023
Union Berlin
-
Mainz
4:1
Latest results of Union Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 116:35 | 81 | 83 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 65:31 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 63:42 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:43 | 23 | 58 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:46 | 20 | 58 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64:48 | 16 | 58 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 57:60 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:56 | -14 | 40 |
| 10 | Mainz | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36:51 | -15 | 34 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41:66 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:69 | -31 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
