Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, SportKlub 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.09
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
71% (190/266)88% (474/537)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.68
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1718
Passes
71% (190/266)88% (474/537)
Long passes
33% (19/57)59% (22/37)
Passes in final third
55% (49/89)75% (64/85)
Crosses
33% (7/21)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.19
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
1817
Tackles
50% (6/12)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4765
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.680.85
Goals prevented
0.680.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Ilic A. (Pen),
  • 38', Muheim M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Burke O. , Skarke T. ,
  • 59', Haberer J. , Schafer A. ,
  • 71', Philippe R. 🟨,
  • 76', Omari W. , Ramos G. ,
  • 76', Philippe R. , Lokonga A. S. ,
  • 76', Konigsdorffer R. , Glatzel R. ,
  • 79', Querfeld L. 🟨,
  • 80', Kohn D. , Rothe T. ,
  • 82', Muheim M. , Capaldo N. ,
  • 89', Ansah I. , Jeong Woo-Yeong ,
  • 90+2', Trimmel C. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Gocholeishvili G. , Mikelbrencis W. ,
  • 90+8', Vieira F. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
42.7%
Draw
32.5%
Hamburger SV
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.2% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26% 27.4%

Union Berlin - Hamburger SV Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.6
(2.04)
3.15
(3.5)
4.34
(3.63)
-6.7%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 27 - 62.8%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 48.4%77.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hamburg (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Union Berlin might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Skov R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Hefti S. (Hip Injury) Pherai I. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Poulsen Y. (Inactive) Torunarigha J. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga