Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid, Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.822.11
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
63
Passes
78% (349/449)71% (240/336)
Yellow cards
40
Expected goals (xG)
1.822.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.002.25
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
1110
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3227
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free kicks
712
Passes
78% (349/449)71% (240/336)
Long passes
34% (19/56)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
60% (78/131)53% (71/133)
Crosses
31% (5/16)45% (9/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.751.77
Throw ins
2621
Fouls
127
Tackles
46% (6/13)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5658
Clearances
3135
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.252.00
Goals prevented
0.25-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Querfeld L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Glatzel R. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Capaldo N. ⚽, Jatta B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
  • 61', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 61', Ansah I. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
  • 64', Capaldo N. 🟨,
  • 72', Glatzel R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 72', Otele P. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
  • 74', Jatta B. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
  • 75', Khedira R. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
  • 82', 3 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Gocholeishvili G. (A),
  • 84', Kemlein A. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
  • 84', Nsoki S. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
  • 87', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
  • 87', Capaldo N. ↓, Elfadli D. ↑,
  • 89', 3 - 2, Ilic A. ⚽, Burke O. (A),
  • 90+3', Polzin M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
40.5%		Draw
29.9%		Union Berlin
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 29.2% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3%)
    •

    Hamburger SV - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.36 ↓
    (2.49)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.23)    		 3.22 ↑
    (2.93)    		 5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.9% – 74.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Hamburg (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Hamburg (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Hamburg (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).
    • Recent performances by Hamburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Union Berlin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Gronbaek A. (Thigh Injury) Lokonga A. S. (Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Leite D. (Muscle Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Balde F. (Injury) Dompe J. (Coach's decision)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Union Berlin were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hamburger SV 0:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    07.02.2026 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    06.02.2026 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    18.01.2026 Stuttgart - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    15.01.2026 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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