Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Hamburger SV
Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, SportKlub 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.09
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
71% (190/266)88% (474/537)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.68
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1718
Passes
71% (190/266)88% (474/537)
Long passes
33% (19/57)59% (22/37)
Passes in final third
55% (49/89)75% (64/85)
Crosses
33% (7/21)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.19
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
1817
Tackles
50% (6/12)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4765
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.680.85
Goals prevented
0.680.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Ilic A. (Pen),
  • 38', Muheim M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Burke O. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 59', Haberer J. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
  • 71', Philippe R. 🟨,
  • 76', Omari W. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 76', Philippe R. ↓, Lokonga A. S. ↑,
  • 76', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 79', Querfeld L. 🟨,
  • 80', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
  • 82', Muheim M. ↓, Capaldo N. ↑,
  • 89', Ansah I. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
  • 90+2', Trimmel C. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
  • 90+8', Vieira F. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
42.7%		Draw
32.5%		Hamburger SV
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.2% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
    •

    Union Berlin - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.6 ↑
    (2.04)    		 3.15 ↓
    (3.5)    		 4.34 ↑
    (3.63)    		 -6.7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 27 - 62.8%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 48.4% – 77.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hamburg (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hamburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Union Berlin might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Skov R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Hefti S. (Hip Injury) Pherai I. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Poulsen Y. (Inactive) Torunarigha J. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Union Berlin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    21.09.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 3:4 ✺
    13.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:4 ✺
    31.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 3:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺
    15.08.2025 Gütersloh - Union Berlin 0:5 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV 5:0 ✺
    04.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Hannover 1:3
    29.08.2025 Hamburger SV - St. Pauli 0:2 ✺
    24.08.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Stuttgart64028:6212
    5Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    6FC Koln631211:9210
    7Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    8Freiburg62229:908
    9Hamburger SV62226:8-28
    10St. Pauli62138:9-17
    11Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    12Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    13Union Berlin62138:13-57
    14Augsburg620411:13-26
    15Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    16Mainz61145:10-54
    17B. Monchengladbach60335:12-73
    18Heidenheim61054:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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