Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 20
  • Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.381.61
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
43
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
310
Passes
79% (351/446)62% (178/287)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.381.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.191.62
Total shots
916
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
712
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1628
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1811
Passes
79% (351/446)62% (178/287)
Long passes
38% (25/65)36% (28/78)
Passes in final third
63% (56/89)51% (61/119)
Crosses
36% (5/14)31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.07
Throw ins
2721
Fouls
1118
Tackles
35% (6/17)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6862
Clearances
4014
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.622.19
Goals prevented
0.620.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 21', Nsoki S. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
  • 47', 3 - 0, Leite D. (Own goal),
  • 54', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
  • 54', Nsoki S. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
  • 54', Burke O. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
  • 58', Ilic A. 🟨,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Khedira R. ⚽,
  • 75', Leite D. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
  • 78', Asllani F. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
  • 83', Kramaric A. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
  • 83', Kemlein A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
  • 85', Prass A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Toure B. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
52%		Draw
25.8%		Union Berlin
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 25.1% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 24.7% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
    •

    Hoffenheim - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.84
    (1.84)    		 3.69 ↓
    (3.79)    		 4.31 ↑
    (4.11)    		 4.7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 3 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 64.6% – 90.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 60%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Hoffenheim (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.
    • Hoffenheim is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Union Berlin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hoffenheim is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Burger W. (Red Card) Campbell C. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Hoffenheim will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Union Berlin were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:4
    08.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:4
    21.09.2024 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:1
    17.02.2024 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:1
    23.09.2023 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 0:2
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    27.01.2026 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim 1:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 ✺
    14.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 5:1 ✺
    06.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Heerenveen Canceled
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    24.01.2026 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    18.01.2026 Stuttgart - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    15.01.2026 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    05.01.2026 Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin 1:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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