Result
2:4
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 3
- Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 4 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.85 | 3.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
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20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 8 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 2 |
Passes |
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70% (225/323) | 77% (358/463) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.85 | 3.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.44 | 4.50 |
Total shots |
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20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots off target |
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9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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14 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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5 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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32 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 12 |
Passes |
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70% (225/323) | 77% (358/463) |
Long passes |
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42% (22/53) | 36% (23/64) |
Passes in final third |
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54% (51/95) | 58% (69/118) |
Crosses |
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23% (6/26) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
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30 | 25 |
Fouls |
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13 | 12 |
Tackles |
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81% (13/16) | 71% (15/21) |
Duels won |
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61 | 72 |
Clearances |
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32 | 59 |
Interceptions |
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13 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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4.50 | 2.44 |
Goals prevented |
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0.50 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 45', Querfeld L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Kramaric A. (Pen),
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Asllani F. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 2, Ansah I. ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 3, Asllani F. ⚽,
- 57', Asllani F. 🟨,
- 66', Kramaric A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 66', Asllani F. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 68', Haberer J. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 3, Rothe T. ⚽,
- 75', Khedira R. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
- 75', Ansah I. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
- 75', Burke O. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
- 78', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
- 78', Hajdari A. ↓, Arthur Chaves ↑,
- 82', 2 - 4, Lemperle T. (Pen),
- 82', Rothe T. 🟥,
- 86', Skov R. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
- 86', Lemperle T. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Union Berlin 35.6% | Draw 27.6% | Hoffenheim 36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Union Berlin - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.68 ↑ (2.5) |
3.44 ↓ (3.45) |
2.6 ↓ (2.83) |
4.8% (4.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Hoffenheim?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
- Union Berlin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hoffenheim is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L.
(Ankle Injury)
Nsoki S.
(Muscle Injury)
Schafer A.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V.
(Ankle Injury)
Hlozek A.
(Foot Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J.
(Injury)
Leite D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Hoffenheim?
Union Berlin has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Union Berlin?
Hoffenheim has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Hoffenheim were as follows:
08.02.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Union Berlin
0:4
21.09.2024
Union Berlin
-
Hoffenheim
2:1
17.02.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Union Berlin
0:1
23.09.2023
Union Berlin
-
Hoffenheim
0:2
20.05.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Union Berlin
4:2
Latest results of Union Berlin
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
7 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga