Result
2:4
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 3
- Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 3.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (225/323) | 77% (358/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 3.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 4.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (225/323) | 77% (358/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 36% (23/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (51/95) | 58% (69/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 59 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.50 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 45', Querfeld L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Kramaric A. (Pen),
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Asllani F. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 2, Ansah I. ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 3, Asllani F. ⚽,
- 57', Asllani F. 🟨,
- 66', Kramaric A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 66', Asllani F. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 68', Haberer J. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 3, Rothe T. ⚽,
- 75', Khedira R. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
- 75', Ansah I. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
- 75', Burke O. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
- 78', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
- 78', Hajdari A. ↓, Arthur Chaves ↑,
- 82', 2 - 4, Lemperle T. (Pen),
- 82', Rothe T. 🟥,
- 86', Skov R. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
- 86', Lemperle T. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
35.6% | Draw
27.6% | Hoffenheim
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Union Berlin - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.5) |
3.44 ↓
(3.45) |
2.6 ↓
(2.83) |
4.8%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Hoffenheim?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
- Union Berlin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hoffenheim is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L.
(Ankle Injury)
Nsoki S.
(Muscle Injury)
Schafer A.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V.
(Ankle Injury)
Hlozek A.
(Foot Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J.
(Injury)
Leite D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Hoffenheim?
Union Berlin has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Union Berlin?
Hoffenheim has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Hoffenheim were as follows:
08.02.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Union Berlin
0:4
21.09.2024
Union Berlin
-
Hoffenheim
2:1
17.02.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Union Berlin
0:1
23.09.2023
Union Berlin
-
Hoffenheim
0:2
20.05.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Union Berlin
4:2
Latest results of Union Berlin
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 23 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
