Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 3
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.853.01
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
70% (225/323)77% (358/463)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.853.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.444.50
Total shots
209
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
91
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3223
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
70% (225/323)77% (358/463)
Long passes
42% (22/53)36% (23/64)
Passes in final third
54% (51/95)58% (69/118)
Crosses
23% (6/26)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.81
Throw-ins
3025
Fouls
1312
Tackles
81% (13/16)71% (15/21)
Duels won
6172
Clearances
3259
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
4.502.44
Goals prevented
0.500.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 45', Querfeld L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Kramaric A. (Pen),
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Asllani F. , Lemperle T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Ansah I. ,
  • 52', 1 - 3, Asllani F. ,
  • 57', Asllani F. 🟨,
  • 66', Kramaric A. , Promel G. ,
  • 66', Asllani F. , Moerstedt M. ,
  • 68', Haberer J. , Kral A. ,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Rothe T. ,
  • 75', Khedira R. , Kemlein A. ,
  • 75', Ansah I. , Jeong Woo-Yeong ,
  • 75', Burke O. , Skarke T. ,
  • 78', Toure B. , Prass A. ,
  • 78', Hajdari A. , Arthur Chaves ,
  • 82', 2 - 4, Lemperle T. (Pen),
  • 82', Rothe T. 🟥,
  • 86', Skov R. , Kohn D. ,
  • 86', Lemperle T. , Damar M. ,

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
35.6%
Draw
27.6%
Hoffenheim
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 27.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 29.7% 31.6%

Union Berlin - Hoffenheim Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.68
(2.5)
3.44
(3.45)
2.6
(2.83)
4.8%
(4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Union Berlin (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 3 - 60%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
    • Union Berlin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury) Schafer A. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Leite D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:4
    21.09.2024 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:1
    17.02.2024 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:1
    23.09.2023 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 0:2
    20.05.2023 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 4:2
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich18162071:145750
    2Dortmund18116135:171839
    3Hoffenheim17103435:211433
    4Stuttgart18103533:26733
    5RB Leipzig17102533:24932
    6Bayer Leverkusen1792634:25929
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1876538:39-127
    8Freiburg1866629:31-224
    9Union Berlin1866624:27-324
    10FC Koln1855827:30-320
    11B. Monchengladbach1855823:29-620
    12Wolfsburg1854927:38-1119
    13Werder Bremen1746721:34-1318
    14Hamburger SV1745817:27-1017
    15Augsburg18441020:35-1516
    16Heidenheim18341117:39-2213
    17Mainz18261018:31-1312
    18St. Pauli17331116:31-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga