Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 5
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Nova Sport
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.03
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Goal Attempts
14	10
Shots on Goal
3	3
Shots off Goal
6	5
Blocked Shots
5	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
11	3
Shots inside the Box
13	7
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
Free Kicks
12	16
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
16	12
Yellow Cards
4	0
Throw-ins
39	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
37	14
Passes
67% (195/293)	73% (230/316)
Passes in the final third
58% (72/124)	52% (33/63)
Crosses
17% (8/48)	43% (6/14)
Tackles
50% (4/8)	50% (8/16)
Clearances Total
14	68
Interceptions
6	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Rothe T. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Gigovic A. ⚽, Machino S. (A),
45+3', Ljubicic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ljubicic M. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
59', Gigovic A. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
65', Rothe T. ↓, Roussillon J. ↑,
65', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Benes L. ↑,
70', Becker T. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
70', Harres P. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
75', Hollerbach B. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
75', Tousart L. ↓, Volland K. ↑,
77', Volland K. 🟨,
83', Geschwill M. ↓, Javorcek D. ↑,
83', Zec D. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
90+5', Juranovic J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Union Berlin
60.6%

Draw
22.7%

Holstein Kiel
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

20.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	4.22 ↓ (4.45)	5.73 ↓ (5.77)	4.4% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 32.4% – 71.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 3.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury) Pichler B. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Arp J.-F. (Head Injury) Tolkin J. (Thigh Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Holstein Kiel?

Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Union Berlin?

Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel were as follows:

05.01.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 1:2

20.10.2024 Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin 0:2

22.07.2023 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 1:2

Latest results of Union Berlin

22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 6:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:2 ✺

08.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:4 ✺

01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

22.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 2:2 ✺

01.02.2025 Bayern Munich - Holstein Kiel 4:3 ✺

24.01.2025 Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel 2:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	8	8	0	0	30:4	26	24
2	RB Leipzig	8	6	1	1	16:9	7	19
3	Dortmund	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
4	Stuttgart	7	5	0	2	11:6	5	15
5	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	2	1	16:11	5	14
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	21:18	3	13
7	Hoffenheim	8	4	1	3	15:13	2	13
8	FC Koln	8	3	2	3	12:11	1	11
9	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	12:16	-4	11
10	Union Berlin	8	3	1	4	11:15	-4	10
11	Freiburg	7	2	3	2	11:11	0	9
12	Wolfsburg	8	2	2	4	9:13	-4	8
13	Hamburger SV	8	2	2	4	7:11	-4	8
14	St. Pauli	8	2	1	5	8:14	-6	7
15	Augsburg	8	2	1	5	12:20	-8	7
16	Mainz	7	1	1	5	8:14	-6	4
17	Heidenheim	8	1	1	6	7:16	-9	4
18	B. Monchengladbach	8	0	3	5	6:18	-12	3

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga