Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel
Result
0:1
02/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaNova Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.03
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1410
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
65
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
113
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1216
Offsides
11
Fouls
1612
Yellow Cards
40
Throw-ins
3920
Touches in the Opposition Box
3714
Passes
67% (195/293)73% (230/316)
Passes in the final third
58% (72/124)52% (33/63)
Crosses
17% (8/48)43% (6/14)
Tackles
50% (4/8)50% (8/16)
Clearances Total
1468
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Rothe T. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Gigovic A. , Machino S. (A),
  • 45+3', Ljubicic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ljubicic M. , Ilic A. ,
  • 59', Gigovic A. , Holtby L. ,
  • 65', Rothe T. , Roussillon J. ,
  • 65', Jeong Woo-Yeong , Benes L. ,
  • 70', Becker T. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 70', Harres P. , Skrzybski S. ,
  • 75', Hollerbach B. , Skarke T. ,
  • 75', Tousart L. , Volland K. ,
  • 77', Volland K. 🟨,
  • 83', Geschwill M. , Javorcek D. ,
  • 83', Zec D. , Schulz M. ,
  • 90+5', Juranovic J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
60.6%
Draw
22.7%
Holstein Kiel
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 20.9% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.55)
    4.22
    (4.45)
    5.73
    (5.77)
    4.4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 32.4%71.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 3.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury) Pichler B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Arp J.-F. (Head Injury) Tolkin J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 1:2
    20.10.2024 Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin 0:2
    22.07.2023 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 1:2
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga