Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

Bundesliga - Round 14
Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.59
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
68% (212/310)	84% (466/554)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	1.52
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
22	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
68% (212/310)	84% (466/554)
Long passes
33% (25/75)	44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
54% (52/96)	68% (93/136)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	0.41
Throw-ins
27	10
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
47% (17/36)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
58	52
Clearances
36	35
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.52	2.14
Goals prevented
0.52	-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Haberer J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', Raum D. 🟨,
55', Doekhi D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Burke O. ⚽, Jeong Woo-Yeong (A),
58', Bakayoko J. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
59', Haberer J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Gomis T. ⚽, Harder C. (A),
64', 2 - 1, Ansah I. ⚽, Trimmel C. (A),
67', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
68', Burke O. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
72', Harder C. 🟨,
81', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
85', Kohn D. ↓, Nsoki S. ↑,
85', Ansah I. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
90+1', Seiwald N. ↓, Werner T. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Skarke T. ⚽, Ilic A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Union Berlin
30.8%

Draw
28.1%

RB Leipzig
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.3%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

25.5%

47.9%

Union Berlin - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.48)	3.39 ↓ (3.62)	2.32 ↑ (2.05)	4.8% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Union Berlin - RB Leipzig?

Users Predictions: 102 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 9 - 8.8%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 80 - 78.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 12.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 70.4% – 86.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1.
Union Berlin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
RB Leipzig is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
RB Leipzig is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baku R. (Ankle Injury) Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Personal Reasons) Nusa A. (Ankle Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Romulo Cardoso (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against RB Leipzig?

Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Union Berlin?

RB Leipzig has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - RB Leipzig were as follows:

01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0

14.09.2024 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 0:0

04.02.2024 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 2:0

03.09.2023 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:3

11.02.2023 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 1:2

Latest results of Union Berlin

06.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺

03.12.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺

29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2 ✺

23.11.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

06.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0 ✺

02.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Magdeburg 3:1 ✺

28.11.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

23.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 2:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	14	12	2	0	51:11	40	38
2	Dortmund	15	9	5	1	26:12	14	32
3	Bayer Leverkusen	15	9	2	4	33:20	13	29
4	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	30:19	11	29
5	Hoffenheim	15	8	3	4	29:20	9	27
6	Stuttgart	15	8	2	5	25:22	3	26
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	30:30	0	25
8	Union Berlin	15	6	3	6	20:23	-3	21
9	Freiburg	15	5	5	5	25:26	-1	20
10	Werder Bremen	15	4	5	6	18:28	-10	17
11	FC Koln	15	4	4	7	22:24	-2	16
12	B. Monchengladbach	15	4	4	7	18:24	-6	16
13	Hamburger SV	15	4	4	7	16:25	-9	16
14	Wolfsburg	15	4	3	8	23:28	-5	15
15	Augsburg	15	4	2	9	17:28	-11	14
16	St. Pauli	14	3	2	9	13:26	-13	11
17	Heidenheim	14	3	2	9	13:30	-17	11
18	Mainz	14	1	4	9	13:26	-13	7

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga