Saint-Gilloise vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin
Result
3:0
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
28.3%
Draw
31.6%
Union Berlin
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 26.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 26.9% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.81)
    3.06
    (3.51)
    2.4
    (2.37)
    3.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 17.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 32 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 34.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 35.8%59.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (39%), a small chance of semis (11%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Union Berlin has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (61%), a chance of semis (25%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
    • This event has quality 64, importance 65, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Union SG have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Vertessen Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Khedira R. (Muscle Injury) Schafer A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D. (Injury) Sykes R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Giesselmann N. (Illness)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Union SG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 3:3
    03.11.2022 Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin 0:1
    08.09.2022 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 0:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1
    04.03.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 0:0
    23.02.2023 Union Berlin - Ajax 3:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland
    16RFSKuPS
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    18CFR ClujBraga
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik
    20ServetteUtrecht
    21HackenBrann
    22AEK LarnacaLegia
    23RijekaShelbourne
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24