Saint-Gilloise vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin
Result
3:0
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
28.3%
Draw
31.6%
Union Berlin
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 26.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 26.9% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.81)
    3.06
    (3.51)
    2.4
    (2.37)
    3.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 17.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 32 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 34.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 35.8%59.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (39%), a small chance of semis (11%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Union Berlin has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (61%), a chance of semis (25%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
    • This event has quality 64, importance 65, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Union SG have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Vertessen Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Khedira R. (Muscle Injury) Schafer A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D. (Injury) Sykes R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Giesselmann N. (Illness)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Union SG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 3:3
    03.11.2022 Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin 0:1
    08.09.2022 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 0:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1
    04.03.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 0:0
    23.02.2023 Union Berlin - Ajax 3:1
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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