Saint-Gilloise vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lotto Park (Anderlecht).

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)

Chances of winning

Saint-Gilloise
28.3%

Draw
31.6%

Union Berlin
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.81)	3.06 ↓ (3.51)	2.4 ↑ (2.37)	3.8% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin?

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 17.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 32 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 34.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 35.8% – 59.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (39%), a small chance of semis (11%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Union Berlin has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (61%), a chance of semis (25%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality 64, importance 65, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Union SG have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Union SG: Vertessen Y. (Injury)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Khedira R. (Muscle Injury) Schafer A. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D. (Injury) Sykes R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Union Berlin: Giesselmann N. (Illness)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Union SG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Union Berlin?

Saint-Gilloise has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Saint-Gilloise?

Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin were as follows:

09.03.2023 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 3:3

03.11.2022 Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin 0:1

08.09.2022 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 0:1

Latest results of Saint-Gilloise

12.03.2023 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2 ✺

09.03.2023 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 3:3 ✺

05.03.2023 Saint-Gilloise - Eupen 2:1 ✺

02.03.2023 Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise 2:0 ✺

25.02.2023 Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Union Berlin

12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺

09.03.2023 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 3:3 ✺

04.03.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 0:0 ✺

26.02.2023 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 3:0 ✺

23.02.2023 Union Berlin - Ajax 3:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
4	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
8	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
9	Shkendija	Bye
16	Bye	Ludogorets
17	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
24	Bye	Young Boys
25	Malmo FF	Bye
32	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
33	Panathinaikos	Bye
35	Besiktas	Bye
36	Shakhtar Donetsk	Ilves	0 : 0, 6 : 0
40	Bye	Samsunspor
41	Aberdeen	Bye
45	FCSB	Bye
48	Bye	Drita
49	Lech Poznan	Bye
56	Bye	Genk
57	Fredrikstad	Bye
59	Midtjylland	Bye
60	Bye	Hibernian
61	RFS	Bye
64	Bye	KuPS
65	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
68	Bye	Noah
69	Lugano	Bye
70	Paks	CFR Cluj	0 : 3, 0 : 0
71	Levski Sofia	H. Beer Sheva	2 : 1, 0 : 0
72	Bye	Braga
73	Zrinjski	Bye
76	Bye	Breidablik
77	Servette	Bye
79	Sheriff Tiraspol	Prishtina	1 : 2, 4 : 0
80	Bye	Utrecht
81	Anderlecht	Bye
82	Trnava	Hacken	2 : 2, 0 : 1
84	Bye	Brann
85	Sabah Baku	Celje	3 : 3, 2 : 3
86	AEK Larnaca	Partizan	2 : 2, 1 : 0
87	Ostrava	Bye
88	Legia	Aktobe	1 : 0, 1 : 0
89	Rijeka	Bye
92	Bye	Shelbourne
93	PAOK	Bye
96	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Quarter-finals

1	Hamrun	Bye
2	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
4	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
5	Shkendija	Bye
8	Bye	Ludogorets
9	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
12	Bye	Young Boys
13	Malmo FF	Bye
16	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
17	Panathinaikos	Bye
18	Besiktas	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 : 2, 2 : 4
20	Bye	Samsunspor
21	Aberdeen	Bye
23	FCSB	Bye
24	Bye	Drita
25	Lech Poznan	Bye
28	Bye	Genk
29	Fredrikstad	Bye
30	Midtjylland	Hibernian	2 : 1, 1 : 1
31	RFS	Bye
32	Bye	KuPS
33	Lincoln Red Imps	Bye
34	Bye	Noah
35	Lugano	CFR Cluj	0 : 1, 0 : 0
36	Levski Sofia	Braga	0 : 1, 0 : 0
37	Zrinjski	Bye
38	Bye	Breidablik
39	Servette	Bye
40	Sheriff Tiraspol	Utrecht	1 : 4, 1 : 3
41	Anderlecht	Hacken	1 : 3, 1 : 0
42	Bye	Brann
43	Celje	AEK Larnaca	1 : 2, 1 : 1
44	Ostrava	Legia	1 : 2, 2 : 2
45	Rijeka	Bye
46	Bye	Shelbourne
47	PAOK	Bye
48	Bye	Wolfsberger AC

Semi-finals

1	Hamrun	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 3, 1 : 2
2	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
3	Shkendija	Bye
4	Bye	Ludogorets
5	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
6	Bye	Young Boys
7	Malmo FF	Bye
8	Bye	Sigma Olomouc
9	Panathinaikos	Shakhtar Donetsk	1 : 0, 0 : 0
10	Bye	Samsunspor
11	Aberdeen	Bye
12	FCSB	Drita	3 : 1, 3 : 2
13	Lech Poznan	Bye
14	Bye	Genk
15	Fredrikstad	Midtjylland	0 : 2, 1 : 3
16	RFS	KuPS	0 : 1, 1 : 2
17	Lincoln Red Imps	Noah	1 : 0, 1 : 1
18	CFR Cluj	Braga	0 : 2, 1 : 2
19	Zrinjski	Breidablik	2 : 1, 1 : 1
20	Servette	Utrecht	1 : 2, 1 : 3
21	Hacken	Brann	1 : 0, 0 : 2
22	AEK Larnaca	Legia	1 : 2, 4 : 1
23	Rijeka	Shelbourne	3 : 1, 1 : 2
24	PAOK	Wolfsberger AC	1 : 0, 0 : 0

Final

1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Dyn. Kyiv	3 : 1
2	Shkendija	Ludogorets	2 : 1
3	Slovan Bratislava	Young Boys	0 : 1
4	Malmo FF	Sigma Olomouc	3 : 0
5	Panathinaikos	Samsunspor	2 : 1
6	Aberdeen	FCSB	2 : 2
7	Lech Poznan	Genk	1 : 5
8	Midtjylland	KuPS	4 : 0
9	Lincoln Red Imps	Braga	0 : 4
10	Zrinjski	Utrecht	0 : 2
11	Brann	AEK Larnaca	2 : 1
12	Rijeka	PAOK	1 : 0