Saint-Gilloise vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
28.3%
Draw
31.6%
Union Berlin
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 26.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 26.9% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Gilloise's form might have worsened.
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.81)
    3.06
    (3.51)
    2.4
    (2.37)
    3.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 17.9%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 32 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 34.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 35.8%59.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Union SG has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (39%), a small chance of semis (11%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Union Berlin has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (61%), a chance of semis (25%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
    • This event has quality 64, importance 65, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Union SG have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Vertessen Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Doekhi D. (Muscle Injury) Khedira R. (Muscle Injury) Schafer A. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D. (Injury) Sykes R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Giesselmann N. (Illness)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Union SG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 3:3
    03.11.2022 Saint-Gilloise - Union Berlin 0:1
    08.09.2022 Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise 0:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    12.03.2023 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 1:1
    04.03.2023 Union Berlin - Köln 0:0
    23.02.2023 Union Berlin - Ajax 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2