Union Berlin vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

Bundesliga - Round 28
Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.95	0.33
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
8	2
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
7	2
Passes
73% (326/446)	68% (260/380)
Yellow cards
0	2
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.95	0.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.73	0.07
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
13	3
Shots outside the box
3	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
31	8
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
8	10
Passes
73% (326/446)	68% (260/380)
Long passes
46% (41/90)	19% (13/70)
Passes in final third
52% (75/144)	49% (53/109)
Crosses
32% (10/31)	25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.39	0.23
Throw ins
39	24
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
60% (6/10)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
57	58
Clearances
30	51
Interceptions
14	12
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	8
xGOT faced
0.07	2.73
Goals prevented
-0.93	1.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Pereira Lage M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Ilic A. ⚽, Kohn D. (A),
60', Kaars M. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
73', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Kral A. ↑,
74', Fujita J. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
81', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
81', Burke O. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
86', Irvine J. 🟨,
90', Rasmussen M. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
90+4', Irvine J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Union Berlin
45.3%

Draw
30%

St. Pauli
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.6%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1%)

Union Berlin - St. Pauli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)	3.18 ↓ (3.32)	3.87 ↑ (3.58)	4.8% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Union Berlin - St. Pauli?

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 30.8% – 66%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Union Berlin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
St. Pauli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Union Berlin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Raab M. (Hand Injury)
There will not play in St. Pauli: Ando T. (Muscle Injury) Jones R.J. (Ankle Injury) Saliakas M. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Ankle Injury) Smith E. (Injury)
There are questionable in Union Berlin: Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against St. Pauli?

Union Berlin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Union Berlin?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - St. Pauli were as follows:

23.11.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 0:1

26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0

30.08.2024 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:0

21.12.2022 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 3:2

Latest results of Union Berlin

21.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Freiburg - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 1:4 ✺

28.02.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 ✺

Latest results of St. Pauli

22.03.2026 St. Pauli - Freiburg 1:2 ✺

13.03.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 2:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	29	24	4	1	105:27	78	76
2	Dortmund	29	19	7	3	60:29	31	64
3	Stuttgart	29	17	5	7	60:38	22	56
4	RB Leipzig	29	17	5	7	56:36	20	56
5	Bayer Leverkusen	29	15	7	7	59:39	20	52
6	Hoffenheim	29	15	6	8	57:43	14	51
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	29	11	9	9	54:54	0	42
8	Freiburg	29	11	7	11	42:47	-5	40
9	Mainz	29	8	9	12	35:44	-9	33
10	Augsburg	29	9	6	14	36:53	-17	33
11	Union Berlin	29	8	8	13	33:50	-17	32
12	Hamburger SV	29	7	10	12	32:45	-13	31
13	FC Koln	29	7	9	13	43:50	-7	30
14	B. Monchengladbach	29	7	9	13	35:49	-14	30
15	Werder Bremen	29	7	7	15	32:52	-20	28
16	St. Pauli	29	6	7	16	25:50	-25	25
17	Wolfsburg	29	5	6	18	39:65	-26	21
18	Heidenheim	29	4	7	18	32:64	-32	19

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )