St. Pauli vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
23/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 11
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic
fijiFijiSky Pacific
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalySky Sport MIX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.41
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
76% (432/567)74% (301/405)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.451.23
Total shots
128
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
810
Passes
76% (432/567)74% (301/405)
Long passes
30% (19/63)31% (24/77)
Passes in final third
59% (104/176)36% (29/80)
Crosses
15% (4/27)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.52
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
108
Tackles
73% (16/22)77% (10/13)
Duels won
6161
Clearances
2350
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.230.45
Goals prevented
0.230.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', Fujita J. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Khedira R. , Ilic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Khedira R. 🟨,
  • 64', Hountondji A. , Sinani D. ,
  • 64', Irvine J. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 65', Ilic A. , Kral A. ,
  • 72', Burke O. , Jeong Woo-Yeong ,
  • 73', Rothe T. , Kohn D. ,
  • 73', Kemlein A. , Haberer J. ,
  • 73', Pyrka A. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 82', Ansah I. , Skarke T. ,
  • 87', Pereira Lage M. , Kaars M. ,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
37.2%
Draw
30.5%
Union Berlin
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.6% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 29.3% 30%

St. Pauli - Union Berlin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.57
(2.34)
3.21
(3.34)
3.01
(3.11)
3.2%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 33.5%69.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Union Berlin will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2.
    • Recent form of St. Pauli has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Union Berlin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Union Berlin has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Dzwigala A. (Muscle Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury) Saliakas M. (Groin Injury) Schmitz M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Juranovic J. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Schafer A. (Knock) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Union Berlin were as follows:
    26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0
    30.08.2024 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:0
    21.12.2022 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 3:2
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga