St. Pauli vs Union Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 11
Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Fiji	Sky Pacific
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Sky Sport MIX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	0.41
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
76% (432/567)	74% (301/405)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.45	1.23
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
21	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
76% (432/567)	74% (301/405)
Long passes
30% (19/63)	31% (24/77)
Passes in final third
59% (104/176)	36% (29/80)
Crosses
15% (4/27)	50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.08	0.52
Throw-ins
22	22
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
73% (16/22)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
61	61
Clearances
23	50
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.23	0.45
Goals prevented
0.23	0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Fujita J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Khedira R. ⚽, Ilic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Khedira R. 🟨,
64', Hountondji A. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
64', Irvine J. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
65', Ilic A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
72', Burke O. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
73', Rothe T. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
73', Kemlein A. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
73', Pyrka A. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
82', Ansah I. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
87', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
37.2%

Draw
30.5%

Union Berlin
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.3%

30%

St. Pauli - Union Berlin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.34)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	3.2% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Union Berlin?

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Union Berlin (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Union Berlin (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Union Berlin (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Union Berlin (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Union Berlin will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Union Berlin (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2.
Recent form of St. Pauli has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Union Berlin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Union Berlin has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Dzwigala A. (Muscle Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury) Saliakas M. (Groin Injury) Schmitz M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Juranovic J. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Schafer A. (Knock) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Union Berlin?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against St. Pauli?

Union Berlin has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Union Berlin were as follows:

26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0

30.08.2024 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:0

21.12.2022 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 3:2

Latest results of St. Pauli

09.11.2025 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:4 ✺

28.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 3:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Union Berlin

08.11.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0 ✺

29.10.2025 Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld 2:1 ✺

24.10.2025 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 1:0 ✺

17.10.2025 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	18	16	2	0	71:14	57	50
2	Dortmund	18	11	6	1	35:17	18	39
3	Hoffenheim	17	10	3	4	35:21	14	33
4	Stuttgart	18	10	3	5	33:26	7	33
5	RB Leipzig	17	10	2	5	33:24	9	32
6	Bayer Leverkusen	17	9	2	6	34:25	9	29
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	38:39	-1	27
8	Freiburg	18	6	6	6	29:31	-2	24
9	Union Berlin	18	6	6	6	24:27	-3	24
10	FC Koln	18	5	5	8	27:30	-3	20
11	B. Monchengladbach	18	5	5	8	23:29	-6	20
12	Wolfsburg	18	5	4	9	27:38	-11	19
13	Werder Bremen	17	4	6	7	21:34	-13	18
14	Hamburger SV	17	4	5	8	17:27	-10	17
15	Augsburg	18	4	4	10	20:35	-15	16
16	Heidenheim	18	3	4	11	17:39	-22	13
17	Mainz	18	2	6	10	18:31	-13	12
18	St. Pauli	17	3	3	11	16:31	-15	12

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga