Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
04/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 9
  • Referee: Heidenreich A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaW-sport
asiaAsiaW-Sport Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumW-sport
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
hong-kongHong-kongNOW Sports 5
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
luxembourgLuxembourgW-Sport
malaysiaMalaysiaCanal+
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay, W-Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN / App, W-Sport
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyW-Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
usaUsaDAZN USA
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.292.12
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
721
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
70% (191/274)85% (544/640)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.292.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.793.21
Total shots
721
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
214
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1230
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
87
Passes
70% (191/274)85% (544/640)
Long passes
52% (30/58)53% (33/62)
Passes in final third
61% (37/61)74% (150/203)
Crosses
21% (3/14)25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.53
Throw-ins
2922
Fouls
78
Tackles
70% (14/20)90% (27/30)
Duels won
4562
Clearances
3521
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.210.79
Goals prevented
-0.79-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Wedemeyer M. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Halverkamps A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Steinert J. , Heikkinen I. ,
  • 46', Halverkamps A. , Noack M. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Lattwein L. , Beerensteyn L. (A),
  • 60', Bergsvand G. , Kuver C. ,
  • 60', Zicai C. , Popp A. ,
  • 70', Wedemeyer M. , Bjelde T. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Popp A. , Lattwein L. (A),
  • 72', Bosl C. , Wagner M. ,
  • 72', Heiseler L. , Aagaard A. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Vallotto S. ,
  • 83', Weidauer S. , Frank C. ,
  • 84', Huth S. , Levels J. ,
  • 84', Beerensteyn L. , Peddemors E. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, Peddemors E. , Popp A. (A),

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
12%
Draw
16%
Wolfsburg
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 20.4% 63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8% 19.6% 65.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolfsburg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolfsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.77
    (5.52)
    5.79
    (4.43)
    1.29
    (1.43)
    7.7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Wolfsburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Wolfsburg (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )).
    • Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Wolfsburg is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
    • Including home match between the teams, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    19.10.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 5:0
    12.10.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 2:1
    05.10.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:3
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W18171071:66552
    2Wolfsburg W17122353:262738
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W18103544:311333
    4Hoffenheim W18102633:231032
    5Bayer Leverkusen W19101829:28131
    6Werder Bremen W1785424:22229
    7Freiburg W1983832:31127
    8Koln W1974823:24-125
    9Union Berlin W1964928:36-822
    10RB Leipzig W19631030:38-821
    111.FC Nurnberg W19541026:47-2119
    12Hamburger SV W19351121:45-2414
    13SGS Essen W19261116:41-2512
    14Jena W18231316:48-329

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women