Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
04/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga Women - Round 9
  • Referee: Heidenreich A. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaW-sport
asiaAsiaW-Sport Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumW-sport
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
hong-kongHong-kongNOW Sports 5
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
luxembourgLuxembourgW-Sport
malaysiaMalaysiaCanal+
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay, W-Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN / App, W-Sport
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyW-Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
usaUsaDAZN USA
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.292.12
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
721
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
70% (191/274)85% (544/640)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.292.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.793.21
Total shots
721
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
214
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1230
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
87
Passes
70% (191/274)85% (544/640)
Long passes
52% (30/58)53% (33/62)
Passes in final third
61% (37/61)74% (150/203)
Crosses
21% (3/14)25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.53
Throw-ins
2922
Fouls
78
Tackles
70% (14/20)90% (27/30)
Duels won
4562
Clearances
3521
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.210.79
Goals prevented
-0.79-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Wedemeyer M. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Halverkamps A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Steinert J. , Heikkinen I. ,
  • 46', Halverkamps A. , Noack M. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Lattwein L. , Beerensteyn L. (A),
  • 60', Bergsvand G. , Kuver C. ,
  • 60', Zicai C. , Popp A. ,
  • 70', Wedemeyer M. , Bjelde T. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Popp A. , Lattwein L. (A),
  • 72', Bosl C. , Wagner M. ,
  • 72', Heiseler L. , Aagaard A. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Vallotto S. ,
  • 83', Weidauer S. , Frank C. ,
  • 84', Huth S. , Levels J. ,
  • 84', Beerensteyn L. , Peddemors E. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, Peddemors E. , Popp A. (A),

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
12%
Draw
16%
Wolfsburg
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 20.4% 63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8% 19.6% 65.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolfsburg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolfsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.77
    (5.52)
    5.79
    (4.43)
    1.29
    (1.43)
    7.7%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Wolfsburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Wolfsburg (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )).
    • Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Wolfsburg is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
    • Including home match between the teams, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    19.10.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 5:0
    12.10.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 2:1
    05.10.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:3
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W20191079:67358
    2Wolfsburg W20152358:273147
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W21123652:361639
    4Hoffenheim W21112837:261135
    5Bayer Leverkusen W21111931:30134
    6Werder Bremen W1995529:28132
    7Freiburg W2193934:34030
    8Koln W2184925:28-328
    9Union Berlin W2175934:39-526
    10RB Leipzig W21741034:40-625
    111.FC Nurnberg W21541228:51-2319
    12Hamburger SV W21361223:50-2715
    13SGS Essen W21261316:50-3412
    14Jena W21241517:52-3510

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women