Unión Comercio vs Alianza Atlético – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético
Result
1:2
19/09/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruL1 Max, L1 Play, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Goal Attempts
167
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
124
Free Kicks
1915
Corner Kicks
71
Offsides
32
Throw-ins
2517
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Fouls
1118
Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Espinoza Torres R. ,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Espinoza Torres R. ,
  • 42', Riojas H. 🟨,
  • 42', Fernandez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Larios Saavedra G. A. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 46', Villamarin R. , Jimenez O. ,
  • 46', Fernandez S. 🟨,
  • 54', Benincasa H. , Tovo E. ,
  • 66', Hernan Perez 🟨,
  • 68', Torres J. , Zeta H. ,
  • 70', Arias Fierro S. D. , Lupu H. ,
  • 70', Espinoza Torres R. , Canela Torres J. J. ,
  • 72', Castro R. 🟨,
  • 82', Hernan Perez , Ferreyra K. ,
  • 82', Javier Navea , Tandazo J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Paredes T. ,
  • 90', Carranza M. 🟨,
  • 90', Castro R. , Flores C. ,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
31.8%
Draw
29.7%
Alianza Atlético
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 29.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 30.9% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Comercio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.57)
    3.12
    (3.12)
    2.42
    (2.7)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 13.8%69.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 0.
    • Unión Comercio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Alianza Atlético is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-22.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Alianza Atlético - Unión Comercio 2:0
    19.08.2023 Alianza Atlético - Unión Comercio 2:2
    02.04.2023 Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético 3:3
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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